The S&P 500 closed near 7,657 on September 11, 2026, after a 0.8% weekly decline from its August peak above 7,816, with the index up roughly 12% year-to-date amid resilient corporate earnings and AI-driven gains. Hotter-than-expected August CPI prints and elevated oil prices above $100 have reinforced trader expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting, shifting the implied policy path higher and pressuring valuations. Hawkish signals from Chair Warsh, combined with core PCE still above 3%, have elevated market-implied odds of further tightening by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC dot plot, October jobs and inflation data, and Q3 earnings season, while December’s FOMC decision and final 2026 economic releases will shape the terminal level amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation persistence and growth momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$355,031 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
4%
↑ $9,000
50%
↑ $8,600
10%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
44%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
48%
↓ $7,000
33%
↓ $6,200
19%
↓ $6,000
14%
↓ $5,800
9%
↓ $5,200
7%
↓ $4,500
4%
$355,031 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$425 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,026 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
50%
↑ $8,600
$31,740 Vol.
10%
↑ $8,200
$23,856 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$571 Vol.
44%
↓ $7,400
$15 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,200
$159 Vol.
48%
↓ $7,000
$1,090 Vol.
33%
↓ $6,200
$57,300 Vol.
19%
↓ $6,000
$4,170 Vol.
14%
↓ $5,800
$42,734 Vol.
9%
↓ $5,200
$62,331 Vol.
7%
↓ $4,500
$60,426 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed near 7,657 on September 11, 2026, after a 0.8% weekly decline from its August peak above 7,816, with the index up roughly 12% year-to-date amid resilient corporate earnings and AI-driven gains. Hotter-than-expected August CPI prints and elevated oil prices above $100 have reinforced trader expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting, shifting the implied policy path higher and pressuring valuations. Hawkish signals from Chair Warsh, combined with core PCE still above 3%, have elevated market-implied odds of further tightening by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC dot plot, October jobs and inflation data, and Q3 earnings season, while December’s FOMC decision and final 2026 economic releases will shape the terminal level amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation persistence and growth momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volumen
$355,031Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed near 7,657 on September 11, 2026, after a 0.8% weekly decline from its August peak above 7,816, with the index up roughly 12% year-to-date amid resilient corporate earnings and AI-driven gains. Hotter-than-expected August CPI prints and elevated oil prices above $100 have reinforced trader expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting, shifting the implied policy path higher and pressuring valuations. Hawkish signals from Chair Warsh, combined with core PCE still above 3%, have elevated market-implied odds of further tightening by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC dot plot, October jobs and inflation data, and Q3 earnings season, while December’s FOMC decision and final 2026 economic releases will shape the terminal level amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation persistence and growth momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Volumen
$355,031Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed near 7,657 on September 11, 2026, after a 0.8% weekly decline from its August peak above 7,816, with the index up roughly 12% year-to-date amid resilient corporate earnings and AI-driven gains. Hotter-than-expected August CPI prints and elevated oil prices above $100 have reinforced trader expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting, shifting the implied policy path higher and pressuring valuations. Hawkish signals from Chair Warsh, combined with core PCE still above 3%, have elevated market-implied odds of further tightening by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the September FOMC dot plot, October jobs and inflation data, and Q3 earnings season, while December’s FOMC decision and final 2026 economic releases will shape the terminal level amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation persistence and growth momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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