Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating on April 3 in the 39.5–39.9% bin at 42%, reflecting recent polling averages stabilizing in the high 30s to low 40s after an early post-inauguration dip. Gallup's March 28–April 1 survey reported 39% approval, while Rasmussen's daily tracker held at 40% through April 2, pressured by independents' concerns over tariff announcements sparking market volatility and initial immigration enforcement actions drawing legal challenges. Strong GOP base approval near 90% offsets broader skepticism, but no major catalysts emerged in the last 48 hours. Economic data due April 4 may shape perceptions, though the market anticipates continuity absent late surprises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTrump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
39.5–39.9 42%
39.0–39.4 27%
40.0–40.4 25%
40.5–40.9 16%
<39.0
14%
39.0–39.4
27%
39.5–39.9
42%
40.0–40.4
25%
40.5–40.9
16%
41.0+
10%
39.5–39.9 42%
39.0–39.4 27%
40.0–40.4 25%
40.5–40.9 16%
<39.0
14%
39.0–39.4
27%
39.5–39.9
42%
40.0–40.4
25%
40.5–40.9
16%
41.0+
10%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating on April 3 in the 39.5–39.9% bin at 42%, reflecting recent polling averages stabilizing in the high 30s to low 40s after an early post-inauguration dip. Gallup's March 28–April 1 survey reported 39% approval, while Rasmussen's daily tracker held at 40% through April 2, pressured by independents' concerns over tariff announcements sparking market volatility and initial immigration enforcement actions drawing legal challenges. Strong GOP base approval near 90% offsets broader skepticism, but no major catalysts emerged in the last 48 hours. Economic data due April 4 may shape perceptions, though the market anticipates continuity absent late surprises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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