Trader consensus slightly favors Paris Saint-Germain at 43.5% implied probability for victory in the UEFA Champions League semi-final first leg at Parc des Princes, reflecting home advantage and a dominant 4-0 aggregate quarter-final win over Liverpool, capped by a 2-0 away victory last week showcasing clinical finishing and defensive solidity. FC Bayern München's 35.5% reflects their resilience in a thrilling 6-4 aggregate triumph over Real Madrid, but is tempered by head coach Vincent Kompany's suspension for this away fixture—confirmed two days ago—potentially disrupting tactics amid a strong Bundesliga run. The 23.5% draw probability underscores the closely contested nature of high-stakes knockout legs between two elite sides with recent Bayern head-to-head dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIf Paris Saint-Germain FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Paris Saint-Germain FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Paris Saint-Germain at 43.5% implied probability for victory in the UEFA Champions League semi-final first leg at Parc des Princes, reflecting home advantage and a dominant 4-0 aggregate quarter-final win over Liverpool, capped by a 2-0 away victory last week showcasing clinical finishing and defensive solidity. FC Bayern München's 35.5% reflects their resilience in a thrilling 6-4 aggregate triumph over Real Madrid, but is tempered by head coach Vincent Kompany's suspension for this away fixture—confirmed two days ago—potentially disrupting tactics amid a strong Bundesliga run. The 23.5% draw probability underscores the closely contested nature of high-stakes knockout legs between two elite sides with recent Bayern head-to-head dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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