**SpaceX completed its record $75 billion IPO on June 12, 2026, at $135 per share, establishing an offering valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion.** This directly anchors trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 94% implied probability, reflecting the prospectus target, strong institutional demand, and the final pricing that aligned closely with pre-IPO private valuations near $1.5T after recent funding rounds. Starlink’s revenue growth, launch cadence dominance, and AI infrastructure investments supported the pricing, while the oversubscribed book and debut trading (closing above $160 per share for a ~$2.1T market cap) reinforced expectations without shifting the IPO valuation band itself. Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome remain limited but include any last-minute regulatory adjustments to share count or pricing mechanics, though the completed offering makes major deviations unlikely. The market’s tight clustering illustrates how skin-in-the-game capital aggregates around the concrete offering terms rather than post-debut volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1,75-2,00 billones 94.0%
2,00-2,25T 2.3%
2.25-2.50T <1%
1,50-1,75T <1%
$244,318 Vol.
$244,318 Vol.
<1,25B
<1%
1.25-1.50T
<1%
1,50-1,75T
<1%
1,75-2,00 billones
94%
2,00-2,25T
2%
2.25-2.50T
<1%
2.50T+
<1%
1,75-2,00 billones 94.0%
2,00-2,25T 2.3%
2.25-2.50T <1%
1,50-1,75T <1%
$244,318 Vol.
$244,318 Vol.
<1,25B
$71,614 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.50T
$23,306 Vol.
<1%
1,50-1,75T
$23,083 Vol.
<1%
1,75-2,00 billones
$52,375 Vol.
94%
2,00-2,25T
$27,588 Vol.
2%
2.25-2.50T
$19,516 Vol.
<1%
2.50T+
$26,835 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**SpaceX completed its record $75 billion IPO on June 12, 2026, at $135 per share, establishing an offering valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion.** This directly anchors trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 94% implied probability, reflecting the prospectus target, strong institutional demand, and the final pricing that aligned closely with pre-IPO private valuations near $1.5T after recent funding rounds.
Starlink’s revenue growth, launch cadence dominance, and AI infrastructure investments supported the pricing, while the oversubscribed book and debut trading (closing above $160 per share for a ~$2.1T market cap) reinforced expectations without shifting the IPO valuation band itself.
Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome remain limited but include any last-minute regulatory adjustments to share count or pricing mechanics, though the completed offering makes major deviations unlikely. The market’s tight clustering illustrates how skin-in-the-game capital aggregates around the concrete offering terms rather than post-debut volatility.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$244,318Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**SpaceX completed its record $75 billion IPO on June 12, 2026, at $135 per share, establishing an offering valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion.** This directly anchors trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 94% implied probability, reflecting the prospectus target, strong institutional demand, and the final pricing that aligned closely with pre-IPO private valuations near $1.5T after recent funding rounds.
Starlink’s revenue growth, launch cadence dominance, and AI infrastructure investments supported the pricing, while the oversubscribed book and debut trading (closing above $160 per share for a ~$2.1T market cap) reinforced expectations without shifting the IPO valuation band itself.
Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome remain limited but include any last-minute regulatory adjustments to share count or pricing mechanics, though the completed offering makes major deviations unlikely. The market’s tight clustering illustrates how skin-in-the-game capital aggregates around the concrete offering terms rather than post-debut volatility.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$244,318Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**SpaceX completed its record $75 billion IPO on June 12, 2026, at $135 per share, establishing an offering valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion.** This directly anchors trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 94% implied probability, reflecting the prospectus target, strong institutional demand, and the final pricing that aligned closely with pre-IPO private valuations near $1.5T after recent funding rounds. Starlink’s revenue growth, launch cadence dominance, and AI infrastructure investments supported the pricing, while the oversubscribed book and debut trading (closing above $160 per share for a ~$2.1T market cap) reinforced expectations without shifting the IPO valuation band itself. Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome remain limited but include any last-minute regulatory adjustments to share count or pricing mechanics, though the completed offering makes major deviations unlikely. The market’s tight clustering illustrates how skin-in-the-game capital aggregates around the concrete offering terms rather than post-debut volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes