SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation while raising a record $75 billion, anchors the 93.3% implied probability on the 1.75-2.00T outcome. Trader consensus reflects the company’s disclosed terms amid strong institutional and retail demand, Starlink subscriber growth exceeding 10 million, and Starship development momentum, all supporting premium multiples near 90-95x trailing revenue. High barriers to alternative outcomes include the fixed offering size and share count, though realistic challenges could arise from last-minute regulatory adjustments, shifts in overall equity market sentiment, or revised share allocations that alter the final fully diluted valuation at debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1,75-2,00 billones 97.6%
1,50-1,75T 2.8%
2,00-2,25T 2.7%
2.25-2.50T <1%
$238,149 Vol.
$238,149 Vol.
<1,25B
<1%
1.25-1.50T
<1%
1,50-1,75T
3%
1,75-2,00 billones
93%
2,00-2,25T
3%
2.25-2.50T
<1%
2.50T+
<1%
1,75-2,00 billones 97.6%
1,50-1,75T 2.8%
2,00-2,25T 2.7%
2.25-2.50T <1%
$238,149 Vol.
$238,149 Vol.
<1,25B
$71,614 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.50T
$23,306 Vol.
<1%
1,50-1,75T
$21,362 Vol.
3%
1,75-2,00 billones
$49,225 Vol.
93%
2,00-2,25T
$26,656 Vol.
3%
2.25-2.50T
$19,179 Vol.
<1%
2.50T+
$26,808 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation while raising a record $75 billion, anchors the 93.3% implied probability on the 1.75-2.00T outcome. Trader consensus reflects the company’s disclosed terms amid strong institutional and retail demand, Starlink subscriber growth exceeding 10 million, and Starship development momentum, all supporting premium multiples near 90-95x trailing revenue. High barriers to alternative outcomes include the fixed offering size and share count, though realistic challenges could arise from last-minute regulatory adjustments, shifts in overall equity market sentiment, or revised share allocations that alter the final fully diluted valuation at debut.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$238,149Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation while raising a record $75 billion, anchors the 93.3% implied probability on the 1.75-2.00T outcome. Trader consensus reflects the company’s disclosed terms amid strong institutional and retail demand, Starlink subscriber growth exceeding 10 million, and Starship development momentum, all supporting premium multiples near 90-95x trailing revenue. High barriers to alternative outcomes include the fixed offering size and share count, though realistic challenges could arise from last-minute regulatory adjustments, shifts in overall equity market sentiment, or revised share allocations that alter the final fully diluted valuation at debut.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$238,149Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation while raising a record $75 billion, anchors the 93.3% implied probability on the 1.75-2.00T outcome. Trader consensus reflects the company’s disclosed terms amid strong institutional and retail demand, Starlink subscriber growth exceeding 10 million, and Starship development momentum, all supporting premium multiples near 90-95x trailing revenue. High barriers to alternative outcomes include the fixed offering size and share count, though realistic challenges could arise from last-minute regulatory adjustments, shifts in overall equity market sentiment, or revised share allocations that alter the final fully diluted valuation at debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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