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Economía·Big Tech

¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?
Economía·Big Tech

¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?

$711,640 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$711,640 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Sam Altman - OpenAI

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$95,693 Vol.

9%

icon for Andy Jassy - Amazon

Andy Jassy - Amazon

$29,383 Vol.

7%

icon for Sundar Pichai - Google

Sundar Pichai - Google

$41,217 Vol.

7%

icon for Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$84,126 Vol.

5%

icon for Dan Clancy - Twitch

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$44,235 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Tim Cook’s planned transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman in September 2026 anchors trader consensus near 100% implied probability for his departure before year-end, reflecting an official succession timeline amid slowing iPhone growth and AI hardware priorities. Sam Altman faces roughly 9% odds amid OpenAI’s wave of more than a dozen senior exits in 2026, repeated reorganizations, and IPO preparations that have triggered internal upheaval without displacing him. Sundar Pichai sits near 8–10% as Google loses top AI talent to startups while Alphabet restructures DeepMind leadership. Similar low-single-digit probabilities apply to Andy Jassy, Brian Armstrong, and Dan Clancy, shaped by investor pressure for faster AI execution and historical patterns of CEO turnover at mature tech firms. Key near-term catalysts include Apple’s September leadership handoff and any OpenAI board or funding developments before December 31.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volumen
$711,640
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Tim Cook’s planned transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman in September 2026 anchors trader consensus near 100% implied probability for his departure before year-end, reflecting an official succession timeline amid slowing iPhone growth and AI hardware priorities. Sam Altman faces roughly 9% odds amid OpenAI’s wave of more than a dozen senior exits in 2026, repeated reorganizations, and IPO preparations that have triggered internal upheaval without displacing him. Sundar Pichai sits near 8–10% as Google loses top AI talent to startups while Alphabet restructures DeepMind leadership. Similar low-single-digit probabilities apply to Andy Jassy, Brian Armstrong, and Dan Clancy, shaped by investor pressure for faster AI execution and historical patterns of CEO turnover at mature tech firms. Key near-term catalysts include Apple’s September leadership handoff and any OpenAI board or funding developments before December 31.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volumen
$711,640
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tim Cook - Apple" con 100%, seguido de "Sam Altman - OpenAI" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?" ha generado $711.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?" es "Tim Cook - Apple" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sam Altman - OpenAI" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué CEO saldrán antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.