Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps since mid-2025 through legislative action or court orders, representing the most active mid-decade redistricting cycle in decades. Partisan majorities in state legislatures drove most changes, often in response to earlier maps drawn by opponents or shifts in Voting Rights Act enforcement following the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais decision. Litigation remains a key variable in several states, with special primaries already scheduled in affected districts and final map challenges possible before November 2026. Traders assess outcomes based on completed enactments and unresolved court cases that could still alter which maps reach Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$380,354 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
97%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
91%
Virginia
3%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
2%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
6%
Washington
5%
Nebraska
3%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
8%
Maryland
5%
Wisconsin
3%
$380,354 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
97%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
91%
Virginia
3%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
2%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
6%
Washington
5%
Nebraska
3%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
8%
Maryland
5%
Wisconsin
3%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps since mid-2025 through legislative action or court orders, representing the most active mid-decade redistricting cycle in decades. Partisan majorities in state legislatures drove most changes, often in response to earlier maps drawn by opponents or shifts in Voting Rights Act enforcement following the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais decision. Litigation remains a key variable in several states, with special primaries already scheduled in affected districts and final map challenges possible before November 2026. Traders assess outcomes based on completed enactments and unresolved court cases that could still alter which maps reach Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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