Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 aimed at shifting the state's 11 districts toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage for the November midterms, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the April referendum on procedural grounds in May. The U.S. Supreme Court later denied a stay, leaving the existing lines in place as certified by the State Board of Elections. This sequence of court rulings has produced near-certain trader consensus against a new map, consistent with the state's standard decennial process and independent commission framework. Remaining pathways for change before the midterms remain narrow and would require successful new litigation or legislative action within tight timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
4% probabilidad
$69,593 Vol.
$69,593 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sí
4% probabilidad
$69,593 Vol.
$69,593 Vol.
3 nov 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 aimed at shifting the state's 11 districts toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage for the November midterms, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the April referendum on procedural grounds in May. The U.S. Supreme Court later denied a stay, leaving the existing lines in place as certified by the State Board of Elections. This sequence of court rulings has produced near-certain trader consensus against a new map, consistent with the state's standard decennial process and independent commission framework. Remaining pathways for change before the midterms remain narrow and would require successful new litigation or legislative action within tight timelines.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Volumen
$69,593Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 aimed at shifting the state's 11 districts toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage for the November midterms, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the April referendum on procedural grounds in May. The U.S. Supreme Court later denied a stay, leaving the existing lines in place as certified by the State Board of Elections. This sequence of court rulings has produced near-certain trader consensus against a new map, consistent with the state's standard decennial process and independent commission framework. Remaining pathways for change before the midterms remain narrow and would require successful new litigation or legislative action within tight timelines.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$69,593Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 aimed at shifting the state's 11 districts toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage for the November midterms, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the April referendum on procedural grounds in May. The U.S. Supreme Court later denied a stay, leaving the existing lines in place as certified by the State Board of Elections. This sequence of court rulings has produced near-certain trader consensus against a new map, consistent with the state's standard decennial process and independent commission framework. Remaining pathways for change before the midterms remain narrow and would require successful new litigation or legislative action within tight timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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