Republican incumbent Phil Scott holds a dominant position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's strong Republican consensus. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term after winning re-election in 2024, secured his primary nomination with over 98% of the vote on August 11. Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly won her party's primary and trails Scott in available polling, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33%. Scott's sustained popularity as a moderate Republican in a state that votes Democratic at the federal level, combined with Vermont's two-year election cycle and limited name recognition for the Democratic challenger, underpins trader expectations heading into the November 3 general election. Minor-party candidates appear on the ballot but have not shifted the competitive dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$59,386 Vol.
$59,386 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
88%
Demócrata
11%
$59,386 Vol.
$59,386 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
$25,795 Vol.
88%
Demócrata
$33,591 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Phil Scott holds a dominant position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's strong Republican consensus. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term after winning re-election in 2024, secured his primary nomination with over 98% of the vote on August 11. Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly won her party's primary and trails Scott in available polling, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33%. Scott's sustained popularity as a moderate Republican in a state that votes Democratic at the federal level, combined with Vermont's two-year election cycle and limited name recognition for the Democratic challenger, underpins trader expectations heading into the November 3 general election. Minor-party candidates appear on the ballot but have not shifted the competitive dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$59,386Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Phil Scott holds a dominant position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's strong Republican consensus. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term after winning re-election in 2024, secured his primary nomination with over 98% of the vote on August 11. Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly won her party's primary and trails Scott in available polling, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33%. Scott's sustained popularity as a moderate Republican in a state that votes Democratic at the federal level, combined with Vermont's two-year election cycle and limited name recognition for the Democratic challenger, underpins trader expectations heading into the November 3 general election. Minor-party candidates appear on the ballot but have not shifted the competitive dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$59,386Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Phil Scott holds a dominant position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's strong Republican consensus. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term after winning re-election in 2024, secured his primary nomination with over 98% of the vote on August 11. Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly won her party's primary and trails Scott in available polling, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33%. Scott's sustained popularity as a moderate Republican in a state that votes Democratic at the federal level, combined with Vermont's two-year election cycle and limited name recognition for the Democratic challenger, underpins trader expectations heading into the November 3 general election. Minor-party candidates appear on the ballot but have not shifted the competitive dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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