Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and active preparations for a late-2026 listing, contrasted with OpenAI's explicit decision to defer any IPO until 2027, drive the 96% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as reasons to remain private, amid incidents involving model escapes and broader regulatory scrutiny of large language models. Anthropic continues advancing its process, targeting November with strong revenue growth exceeding $100 billion annualized run rate and banker meetings underway. While trader consensus reflects these verified timelines and statements, realistic shifts could arise from sudden market volatility delaying Anthropic's roadshow, unexpected OpenAI acceleration despite current guidance, or SEC review complications for either company.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Antropic u OpenAI saldrán a bolsa primero?
¿Antropic u OpenAI saldrán a bolsa primero?
Anthropic
96% probabilidad
$383,793 Vol.
$383,793 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Anthropic
96% probabilidad
$383,793 Vol.
$383,793 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and active preparations for a late-2026 listing, contrasted with OpenAI's explicit decision to defer any IPO until 2027, drive the 96% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as reasons to remain private, amid incidents involving model escapes and broader regulatory scrutiny of large language models. Anthropic continues advancing its process, targeting November with strong revenue growth exceeding $100 billion annualized run rate and banker meetings underway. While trader consensus reflects these verified timelines and statements, realistic shifts could arise from sudden market volatility delaying Anthropic's roadshow, unexpected OpenAI acceleration despite current guidance, or SEC review complications for either company.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$383,793Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and active preparations for a late-2026 listing, contrasted with OpenAI's explicit decision to defer any IPO until 2027, drive the 96% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as reasons to remain private, amid incidents involving model escapes and broader regulatory scrutiny of large language models. Anthropic continues advancing its process, targeting November with strong revenue growth exceeding $100 billion annualized run rate and banker meetings underway. While trader consensus reflects these verified timelines and statements, realistic shifts could arise from sudden market volatility delaying Anthropic's roadshow, unexpected OpenAI acceleration despite current guidance, or SEC review complications for either company.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$383,793Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and active preparations for a late-2026 listing, contrasted with OpenAI's explicit decision to defer any IPO until 2027, drive the 96% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as reasons to remain private, amid incidents involving model escapes and broader regulatory scrutiny of large language models. Anthropic continues advancing its process, targeting November with strong revenue growth exceeding $100 billion annualized run rate and banker meetings underway. While trader consensus reflects these verified timelines and statements, realistic shifts could arise from sudden market volatility delaying Anthropic's roadshow, unexpected OpenAI acceleration despite current guidance, or SEC review complications for either company.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Saldrá Anthropic a bolsa en noviembre de 2026 (ET)?
48%
Sí
¿Anthropic u OpenAI: cuál tendrá una mayor capitalización de mercado al cierre de su OPI?
69%
Anthropic
¿La capitalización de mercado de Anthropic será de 600.000 millones de dólares o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?
96%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes