Trader sentiment on OpenAI’s IPO raise amount shows notable dispersion, with the highest implied probability (38.5%) on less than $30 billion and the next largest share (25%) on $100 billion or more. This spread reflects uncertainty around valuation multiples amid rapid AI-sector revenue growth, recent private funding rounds, and broader equity-market conditions for large technology listings. Market-implied odds incorporate trader assessments of competitive positioning, potential regulatory scrutiny, and comparable IPO benchmarks, while distinguishing confirmed financial metrics from forward estimates. Key upcoming catalysts include any SEC filings or earnings updates that could clarify the company’s path and timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 36.3%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 19.1%
$100B+ 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2027
<$30B
36%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
28%
<$30B 36.3%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 19.1%
$100B+ 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2027
<$30B
$476 Vol.
36%
$30B–$40B
$463 Vol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Vol.
23%
$50B–$60B
$825 Vol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 Vol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Vol.
6%
$80B–$90B
$448 Vol.
19%
$90B–$100B
$306 Vol.
4%
$100B+
$637 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on OpenAI’s IPO raise amount shows notable dispersion, with the highest implied probability (38.5%) on less than $30 billion and the next largest share (25%) on $100 billion or more. This spread reflects uncertainty around valuation multiples amid rapid AI-sector revenue growth, recent private funding rounds, and broader equity-market conditions for large technology listings. Market-implied odds incorporate trader assessments of competitive positioning, potential regulatory scrutiny, and comparable IPO benchmarks, while distinguishing confirmed financial metrics from forward estimates. Key upcoming catalysts include any SEC filings or earnings updates that could clarify the company’s path and timeline.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volumen
$5,761Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on OpenAI’s IPO raise amount shows notable dispersion, with the highest implied probability (38.5%) on less than $30 billion and the next largest share (25%) on $100 billion or more. This spread reflects uncertainty around valuation multiples amid rapid AI-sector revenue growth, recent private funding rounds, and broader equity-market conditions for large technology listings. Market-implied odds incorporate trader assessments of competitive positioning, potential regulatory scrutiny, and comparable IPO benchmarks, while distinguishing confirmed financial metrics from forward estimates. Key upcoming catalysts include any SEC filings or earnings updates that could clarify the company’s path and timeline.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,761Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on OpenAI’s IPO raise amount shows notable dispersion, with the highest implied probability (38.5%) on less than $30 billion and the next largest share (25%) on $100 billion or more. This spread reflects uncertainty around valuation multiples amid rapid AI-sector revenue growth, recent private funding rounds, and broader equity-market conditions for large technology listings. Market-implied odds incorporate trader assessments of competitive positioning, potential regulatory scrutiny, and comparable IPO benchmarks, while distinguishing confirmed financial metrics from forward estimates. Key upcoming catalysts include any SEC filings or earnings updates that could clarify the company’s path and timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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