Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has reiterated that establishing a state monopoly on arms through Hezbollah’s disarmament is non-negotiable, yet he has stressed a peaceful process to avoid civil conflict, while the Lebanese Armed Forces advance phased operations in southern pilot zones, reporting seizures of weapons caches south of the Litani River. A June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework ties any Israeli withdrawal to verified disarmament and LAF deployment, but Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem has rejected the accord as unacceptable, warning it risks confrontation. Recent assessments indicate limited LAF effectiveness in some areas and possible coordination concerns with the group. Israel’s military leadership has conditioned further progress on improved ground results ahead of planned October talks in Rome. These dynamics, alongside Hezbollah’s sustained rejection and the framework’s sequencing requirements, shape trader assessments of near-term disarmament timelines.

Apr 25 2026

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a

April 30 rises to 4%4%

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a brief rally to 4 % before the

Apr 23 2026

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to

April 30 dips to 0%4%

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to slide back to 0 %

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