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Will John Fleming drop out?

icon for Will John Fleming drop out?

Will John Fleming drop out?

10% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
10% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming advanced to the June 27 runoff in the Republican primary for the open U.S. Senate seat, placing second behind Representative Julia Letlow after incumbent Bill Cassidy finished third in the May 16 primary. Fleming has continued active campaigning, including recent public appearances and statements reinforcing his commitment to the race despite earlier reports of job offers from Trump administration figures and other officials to encourage withdrawal. Traders view these developments, combined with his established voter base and ongoing attacks from opposing campaigns, as strong signals that structural and personal incentives favor remaining in contention through the runoff. The absence of any recent announcements or procedural steps toward exit further supports the current market consensus against a dropout.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,109
Fecha de finalización
26 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming advanced to the June 27 runoff in the Republican primary for the open U.S. Senate seat, placing second behind Representative Julia Letlow after incumbent Bill Cassidy finished third in the May 16 primary. Fleming has continued active campaigning, including recent public appearances and statements reinforcing his commitment to the race despite earlier reports of job offers from Trump administration figures and other officials to encourage withdrawal. Traders view these developments, combined with his established voter base and ongoing attacks from opposing campaigns, as strong signals that structural and personal incentives favor remaining in contention through the runoff. The absence of any recent announcements or procedural steps toward exit further supports the current market consensus against a dropout.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,109
Fecha de finalización
26 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will John Fleming drop out?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 10% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 10¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will John Fleming drop out?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will John Fleming drop out?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will John Fleming drop out?" es 10% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 10% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will John Fleming drop out?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.