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Política·Casa Principal

CA-45 Primary Winners

icon for CA-45 Primary Winners
Política·Casa Principal

CA-45 Primary Winners

$11,638 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$11,638 Vol.

Polymarket

Derek Tran

$4,097 Vol.

99%

Tom Vo

$2,238 Vol.

14%

Amy Phan West

$841 Vol.

5%

Chi Charlie Nguyen

$2,383 Vol.

10%

Mark Leonard

$1,123 Vol.

2%

Chuong Vo

$957 Vol.

59%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's June 2 top-two primary for the 45th congressional district featured incumbent Democrat Derek Tran facing five Republican challengers in an Orange County seat with a large Asian American electorate. Early and partial results showed Tran exceeding 50 percent of the vote, positioning him to advance, while vote-by-mail ballots continued arriving to finalize standings. Among Republicans, former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo held an early lead over candidates including Westminster Mayor Chi Charlie Nguyen, Mark Leonard, Amy Phan West, and Tom Vo. The outcome determines the two nominees advancing to the November 3 general election under California's nonpartisan primary rules, with redistricting from Proposition 50 adding context to the district's composition.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$11,638
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's June 2 top-two primary for the 45th congressional district featured incumbent Democrat Derek Tran facing five Republican challengers in an Orange County seat with a large Asian American electorate. Early and partial results showed Tran exceeding 50 percent of the vote, positioning him to advance, while vote-by-mail ballots continued arriving to finalize standings. Among Republicans, former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo held an early lead over candidates including Westminster Mayor Chi Charlie Nguyen, Mark Leonard, Amy Phan West, and Tom Vo. The outcome determines the two nominees advancing to the November 3 general election under California's nonpartisan primary rules, with redistricting from Proposition 50 adding context to the district's composition.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$11,638
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"CA-45 Primary Winners" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Derek Tran" con 99%, seguido de "Chuong Vo" con 59%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "CA-45 Primary Winners" ha generado $11.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "CA-45 Primary Winners", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "CA-45 Primary Winners" es "Derek Tran" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Chuong Vo" con 59%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "CA-45 Primary Winners" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.