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Sports·Basketball Series A

Serie A: Winner

icon for Serie A: Winner
Sports·Basketball Series A

Serie A: Winner

Olimpia Milano 100.0%

Trapani Shark 19%

Aquila Basket Trento 1.0%

Tortona 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,168 Vol.

Olimpia Milano 100.0%

Trapani Shark 19%

Aquila Basket Trento 1.0%

Tortona 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,168 Vol.

Treviso

$0 Vol.

No

Varese

$43 Vol.

No

Aquila Basket Trento

$160 Vol.

No

Tortona

$0 Vol.

No

Pallacanestro Trieste

$0 Vol.

No

Snaidero Cucine Udine

$0 Vol.

No

Trapani Shark

$38 Vol.

No

Umana Reyer Venezia

$373 Vol.

No

Germani Brescia

$17 Vol.

No

Cremona

$0 Vol.

No

Napoli Basket

$0 Vol.

No

Pallacanestro Cantù

$0 Vol.

No

Pallacanestro Reggiana

$0 Vol.

No

Dinamo Sassari

$0 Vol.

No

Olimpia Milano

$537 Vol.

Yes

Virtus Bologna

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Serie A per the rules of Serie A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Serie A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Olimpia Milano holds a 2-1 lead in the best-of-five LBA Finals against Umana Reyer Venezia, driving the higher implied probability among traders. Milano secured convincing home victories in Games 1 and 2 (100-80 and 92-79) behind strong contributions from key rotation players before dropping Game 3 on the road 97-109, where Venezia cut the deficit with efficient scoring. Regular-season positioning placed Milano among the top four clubs, while Venezia finished fourth, but the current series edge, home-court return for Game 4, and historical finals experience favor Milano closing out the title. Venezia retains realistic upset potential with continued home dominance and adjustments, though they must avoid elimination in the remaining contests.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Serie A per the rules of Serie A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the Serie A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,168
End Date
Dec 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Serie A per the rules of Serie A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Serie A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Serie A per the rules of Serie A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Serie A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Olimpia Milano holds a 2-1 lead in the best-of-five LBA Finals against Umana Reyer Venezia, driving the higher implied probability among traders. Milano secured convincing home victories in Games 1 and 2 (100-80 and 92-79) behind strong contributions from key rotation players before dropping Game 3 on the road 97-109, where Venezia cut the deficit with efficient scoring. Regular-season positioning placed Milano among the top four clubs, while Venezia finished fourth, but the current series edge, home-court return for Game 4, and historical finals experience favor Milano closing out the title. Venezia retains realistic upset potential with continued home dominance and adjustments, though they must avoid elimination in the remaining contests.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Serie A per the rules of Serie A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the Serie A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,168
End Date
Dec 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Serie A per the rules of Serie A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Serie A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Serie A: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Olimpia Milano" at 100%, followed by "Treviso" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Serie A: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Serie A: Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Serie A: Winner" is "Olimpia Milano" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Treviso" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Serie A: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.