Trader consensus prices LDU Quito, Estudiantes LP, and Flamengo atop the Copa Libertadores winner market at 39.5-38.5% implied probabilities, reflecting the March 19 group stage draw that placed these top seeds in navigable groups—LDU Quito (Group G with Lanús, Always Ready, Mirassol), Flamengo and Estudiantes (Group A with Cusco FC, Independiente Medellín), and Palmeiras (Group F with Cerro Porteño, Junior, Sporting Cristal). No matches played yet ahead of April 7 kickoff, sentiment hinges on strong recent domestic form (LDU Quito's solid Liga Pro start), defending champion Flamengo's pedigree, Argentina's table leaders like Estudiantes, and Brazil's depth, fostering a bunched race with multiple paths to the round of 16 and knockouts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedFlamengo 25%
Palmeiras 20%
Universidad Católica 9%
Santa Fe 9%
Flamengo
41%
Palmeiras
28%
Universidad Católica
9%
Santa Fe
9%
Peñarol
7%
Junior
21%
Boca Juniors
8%
Rosario Central
1%
Nacional
1%
Always Ready
1%
Lanús
1%
Universidad Central
1%
Libertad
1%
Platense
1%
Cerro Porteño
1%
Independiente Rivadavia
1%
Mirassol
1%
Independiente Medellín
1%
Bolívar
1%
LDU Quito
-
Estudiantes LP
-
Corinthians
27%
Flamengo 25%
Palmeiras 20%
Universidad Católica 9%
Santa Fe 9%
Flamengo
41%
Palmeiras
28%
Universidad Católica
9%
Santa Fe
9%
Peñarol
7%
Junior
21%
Boca Juniors
8%
Rosario Central
1%
Nacional
1%
Always Ready
1%
Lanús
1%
Universidad Central
1%
Libertad
1%
Platense
1%
Cerro Porteño
1%
Independiente Rivadavia
1%
Mirassol
1%
Independiente Medellín
1%
Bolívar
1%
LDU Quito
-
Estudiantes LP
-
Corinthians
27%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 11:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices LDU Quito, Estudiantes LP, and Flamengo atop the Copa Libertadores winner market at 39.5-38.5% implied probabilities, reflecting the March 19 group stage draw that placed these top seeds in navigable groups—LDU Quito (Group G with Lanús, Always Ready, Mirassol), Flamengo and Estudiantes (Group A with Cusco FC, Independiente Medellín), and Palmeiras (Group F with Cerro Porteño, Junior, Sporting Cristal). No matches played yet ahead of April 7 kickoff, sentiment hinges on strong recent domestic form (LDU Quito's solid Liga Pro start), defending champion Flamengo's pedigree, Argentina's table leaders like Estudiantes, and Brazil's depth, fostering a bunched race with multiple paths to the round of 16 and knockouts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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