Skip to main content
icon for 2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader

2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader

icon for 2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader

2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader

Wyndham Clark 100.0%

Harris English 5.0%

Bryson DeChambeau 5.0%

Cameron Smith 5.0%

Polymarket

$28,503 Vol.

Wyndham Clark 100.0%

Harris English 5.0%

Bryson DeChambeau 5.0%

Cameron Smith 5.0%

Polymarket

$28,503 Vol.

Cameron Young

$445 Vol.

No

Matt Fitzpatrick

$684 Vol.

No

Xander Schauffele

$1,056 Vol.

No

Robert MacIntyre

$380 Vol.

No

Sepp Straka

$282 Vol.

No

Harris English

$282 Vol.

No

Ryan Gerard

$297 Vol.

No

Patrick Cantlay

$289 Vol.

No

J.T. Poston

$395 Vol.

No

Jordan Spieth

$387 Vol.

No

Rory McIlroy

$1,001 Vol.

No

Jon Rahm

$728 Vol.

No

Chris Gotterup

$395 Vol.

No

Ben Griffin

$380 Vol.

No

Justin Thomas

$380 Vol.

No

Hideki Matsuyama

$600 Vol.

No

Nicolai Højgaard

$528 Vol.

No

Min Woo Lee

$340 Vol.

No

Gary Woodland

$380 Vol.

No

Jason Day

$325 Vol.

No

Joaquin Niemann

$372 Vol.

No

Scottie Scheffler

$648 Vol.

No

Tommy Fleetwood

$229 Vol.

No

Collin Morikawa

$415 Vol.

No

Alex Noren

$308 Vol.

No

Bryson DeChambeau

$592 Vol.

No

Rickie Fowler

$280 Vol.

No

Cameron Smith

$274 Vol.

No

Justin Rose

$380 Vol.

No

Ludvig Åberg

$455 Vol.

No

Aaron Rai

$395 Vol.

No

Si Woo Kim

$377 Vol.

No

Patrick Reed

$294 Vol.

No

Akshay Bhatia

$385 Vol.

No

Sam Burns

$380 Vol.

No

Wyndham Clark

$4,834 Vol.

Yes

Alex Smalley

$272 Vol.

No

Shane Lowry

$248 Vol.

No

Adam Scott

$372 Vol.

No

Jake Knapp

$313 Vol.

No

Daniel Berger

$304 Vol.

No

Carlos Ortiz

$289 Vol.

No

Lucas Herbert

$280 Vol.

No

Laurie Canter

$600 Vol.

No

Russell Henley

$521 Vol.

No

J.J. Spaun

$289 Vol.

No

Tyrrell Hatton

$387 Vol.

No

Jacob Bridgeman

$395 Vol.

No

Kristoffer Reitan

$264 Vol.

No

Viktor Hovland

$342 Vol.

No

Kurt Kitayama

$380 Vol.

No

Maverick McNealy

$380 Vol.

No

Keegan Bradley

$395 Vol.

No

Bud Cauley

$372 Vol.

No

Michael Kim

$395 Vol.

No

Dustin Johnson

$1,115 Vol.

No

David Puig

$419 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills remains in its opening round, leaving the third-round leader market tightly bunched because no player has established meaningful separation after limited play on the demanding par-70 layout. A broad field of contenders shares comparable implied probabilities near 50%, reflecting the course’s history of producing volatile early scoring and the absence of extended form data. Top-ranked players such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele sit lower in the consensus at 27–32% amid the usual major-championship variance, while mid-tier and local specialists hold similar positioning. Factors including weather, pin placements, and tee-time groupings will continue to drive rapid shifts once full rounds are completed.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$28,503
End Date
Jun 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills remains in its opening round, leaving the third-round leader market tightly bunched because no player has established meaningful separation after limited play on the demanding par-70 layout. A broad field of contenders shares comparable implied probabilities near 50%, reflecting the course’s history of producing volatile early scoring and the absence of extended form data. Top-ranked players such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele sit lower in the consensus at 27–32% amid the usual major-championship variance, while mid-tier and local specialists hold similar positioning. Factors including weather, pin placements, and tee-time groupings will continue to drive rapid shifts once full rounds are completed.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$28,503
End Date
Jun 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 57+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wyndham Clark" at 100%, followed by "Cameron Young" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader" has generated $28.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader," browse the 57+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader" is "Wyndham Clark" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cameron Young" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 U.S. Open: Third Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.