**The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club (June 18–21) features a classic links-style layout that rewards precise driving, iron play, and course management amid firm greens, thick rough, and variable wind.** Scottie Scheffler enters as the consensus leader in trader sentiment due to his world No. 1 ranking and consistent major contention, while Rory McIlroy draws strong support for his Grand Slam pursuit and recent form. Other notable names include Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Tommy Fleetwood (strong 2018 history here), Matt Fitzpatrick, and Cameron Young, whose current season results and ball-striking metrics align with the setup’s demands. The event’s inherent difficulty often elevates steady performers over pure distance players, with Round 1 groupings and early scoring providing the first real-time adjustments to implied probabilities for top-5 finishes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPGA Tour: U.S. Open Top 5
PGA Tour: U.S. Open Top 5
$70,696 Vol.
Rory McIlroy
No
Jon Rahm
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
No
Tommy Fleetwood
No
Xander Schauffele
No
Cameron Young
No
Bryson DeChambeau
No
Brooks Koepka
No
Wyndham Clark
Yes
Harris English
No
Maverick McNealy
No
Aaron Rai
No
Alexander Noren
No
Keegan Bradley
No
JT Poston
Yes
Jake Knapp
No
Jason Day
No
Daniel Berger
No
Corey Conners
No
Keith Mitchell
Yes
Sung-Jae Im
No
Brian Harman
No
Sahith Theegala
No
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
No
Davis Thompson
No
Lucas Herbert
No
Pierceson Coody
No
Jayden Schaper
No
Sam Stevens
No
Michael Kim
No
Andrew Novak
No
Ryo Hisatsune
No
Max Greyserman
No
Jackson Suber
No
Johnny Keefer
No
Carlos Ortiz
No
Chris Kirk
No
Billy Horschel
No
Andrew Putnam
No
William Mouw
No
Benjamin James
No
Nicolas Echavarria
No
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
No
Matthew Jordan
No
Laurie Canter
No
Kevin Roy
No
Zac Blair
No
Cole Hammer
No
Nick Hardy
No
Caleb Surratt
No
Jimmy Stanger
No
Graeme McDowell
No
Scottie Scheffler
Yes
Russell Henley
No
Sam Burns
Yes
Tyrrell Hatton
No
Justin Rose
No
Si Woo Kim
No
Collin Morikawa
No
Patrick Reed
No
Patrick Cantlay
No
Justin Thomas
No
Viktor Hovland
No
Chris Gotterup
No
J.J. Spaun
No
Hideki Matsuyama
No
Robert MacIntyre
No
Jordan Spieth
No
Shane Lowry
No
Joaquin Niemann
No
Kurt Kitayama
No
Ben Griffin
No
Min Woo Lee
No
Kristoffer Reitan
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Ryan Gerard
No
Adam Scott
No
Bud Cauley
No
Gary Woodland
No
Akshay Bhatia
No
Jackson Koivun
No
Cameron Smith
No
Alex Smalley
No
Sepp Straka
No
David Puig
No
Rickie Fowler
No
Dustin Johnson
No
Ryan Fox
No
Jacob Bridgeman
No
Harry Hall
No
Nick Taylor
No
Tom Kim
Yes
Matt McCarty
No
Michael Brennan
No
Emiliano Grillo
No
Nathan Kimsey
No
Max McGreevy
No
John Parry
No
Patrick Rodgers
No
Ben Kohles
No
$70,696 Vol.
Rory McIlroy
No
Jon Rahm
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
No
Tommy Fleetwood
No
Xander Schauffele
No
Cameron Young
No
Bryson DeChambeau
No
Brooks Koepka
No
Wyndham Clark
Yes
Harris English
No
Maverick McNealy
No
Aaron Rai
No
Alexander Noren
No
Keegan Bradley
No
JT Poston
Yes
Jake Knapp
No
Jason Day
No
Daniel Berger
No
Corey Conners
No
Keith Mitchell
Yes
Sung-Jae Im
No
Brian Harman
No
Sahith Theegala
No
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
No
Davis Thompson
No
Lucas Herbert
No
Pierceson Coody
No
Jayden Schaper
No
Sam Stevens
No
Michael Kim
No
Andrew Novak
No
Ryo Hisatsune
No
Max Greyserman
No
Jackson Suber
No
Johnny Keefer
No
Carlos Ortiz
No
Chris Kirk
No
Billy Horschel
No
Andrew Putnam
No
William Mouw
No
Benjamin James
No
Nicolas Echavarria
No
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
No
Matthew Jordan
No
Laurie Canter
No
Kevin Roy
No
Zac Blair
No
Cole Hammer
No
Nick Hardy
No
Caleb Surratt
No
Jimmy Stanger
No
Graeme McDowell
No
Scottie Scheffler
Yes
Russell Henley
No
Sam Burns
Yes
Tyrrell Hatton
No
Justin Rose
No
Si Woo Kim
No
Collin Morikawa
No
Patrick Reed
No
Patrick Cantlay
No
Justin Thomas
No
Viktor Hovland
No
Chris Gotterup
No
J.J. Spaun
No
Hideki Matsuyama
No
Robert MacIntyre
No
Jordan Spieth
No
Shane Lowry
No
Joaquin Niemann
No
Kurt Kitayama
No
Ben Griffin
No
Min Woo Lee
No
Kristoffer Reitan
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Ryan Gerard
No
Adam Scott
No
Bud Cauley
No
Gary Woodland
No
Akshay Bhatia
No
Jackson Koivun
No
Cameron Smith
No
Alex Smalley
No
Sepp Straka
No
David Puig
No
Rickie Fowler
No
Dustin Johnson
No
Ryan Fox
No
Jacob Bridgeman
No
Harry Hall
No
Nick Taylor
No
Tom Kim
Yes
Matt McCarty
No
Michael Brennan
No
Emiliano Grillo
No
Nathan Kimsey
No
Max McGreevy
No
John Parry
No
Patrick Rodgers
No
Ben Kohles
No
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club (June 18–21) features a classic links-style layout that rewards precise driving, iron play, and course management amid firm greens, thick rough, and variable wind.** Scottie Scheffler enters as the consensus leader in trader sentiment due to his world No. 1 ranking and consistent major contention, while Rory McIlroy draws strong support for his Grand Slam pursuit and recent form. Other notable names include Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Tommy Fleetwood (strong 2018 history here), Matt Fitzpatrick, and Cameron Young, whose current season results and ball-striking metrics align with the setup’s demands. The event’s inherent difficulty often elevates steady performers over pure distance players, with Round 1 groupings and early scoring providing the first real-time adjustments to implied probabilities for top-5 finishes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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