Aryna Sabalenka holds the top implied probability at 22.5% entering the 2026 Wimbledon grass-court swing, buoyed by her dominant hard-court results and world No. 1 ranking, though her limited grass success and recent French Open quarterfinal exit to Diana Shnaider temper expectations. Elena Rybakina follows at 16.5% thanks to her 2022 title, powerful serve, and strong 2026 form including an Australian Open crown. Mirra Andreeva (9.4%) and defending champion Iga Świątek (9.0%) sit close behind, with Andreeva riding recent Grand Slam momentum and Świątek leveraging proven Wimbledon adaptation. Multiple players bring comparable grass credentials, recent title contention, and schedule flexibility in the pre-tournament warm-ups, keeping the field tightly bunched with no single standout edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLinda Nosková 100.0%
Elena Rybakina <1%
Emma Raducanu <1%
Jasmine Paolini <1%
$30,072,617 Vol.
$30,072,617 Vol.
Elena Rybakina
No
Emma Raducanu
No
Jasmine Paolini
No
Belinda Bencic
No
Liudmila Samsonova
No
Emma Navarro
No
Linda Nosková
Yes
Naomi Osaka
No
Maya Joint
No
Dayana Yastremska
No
Donna Vekić
No
Maja Chwalinska
No
Iga Świątek
No
Markéta Vondroušová
No
Qinwen Zheng
No
Elina Svitolina
No
Karolína Muchová
No
Marta Kostyuk
No
Paula Badosa
No
Clara Tauson
No
Olga Danilović
No
McCartney Kessler
No
Leylah Fernandez
No
Laura Siegemund
No
Iva Jovic
No
Coco Gauff
No
Amanda Anisimova
No
Mirra Andreeva
No
Barbora Krejčíková
No
Ekaterina Alexandrova
No
Ashlyn Krueger
No
Elise Mertens
No
Xinyu Wang
No
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
No
Yulia Putintseva
No
Jelena Ostapenko
No
Maria Sakkari
No
Anna Kalinskaya
No
Serena Williams
No
Aryna Sabalenka
No
Madison Keys
No
Jessica Pegula
No
Victoria Mboko
No
Ons Jabeur
No
Tatjana Maria
No
Solana Sierra
No
Sonay Kartal
No
Beatriz Haddad Maia
No
Marie Bouzková
No
Diana Shnaider
No
Alexandra Eala
No
Linda Nosková 100.0%
Elena Rybakina <1%
Emma Raducanu <1%
Jasmine Paolini <1%
$30,072,617 Vol.
$30,072,617 Vol.
Elena Rybakina
No
Emma Raducanu
No
Jasmine Paolini
No
Belinda Bencic
No
Liudmila Samsonova
No
Emma Navarro
No
Linda Nosková
Yes
Naomi Osaka
No
Maya Joint
No
Dayana Yastremska
No
Donna Vekić
No
Maja Chwalinska
No
Iga Świątek
No
Markéta Vondroušová
No
Qinwen Zheng
No
Elina Svitolina
No
Karolína Muchová
No
Marta Kostyuk
No
Paula Badosa
No
Clara Tauson
No
Olga Danilović
No
McCartney Kessler
No
Leylah Fernandez
No
Laura Siegemund
No
Iva Jovic
No
Coco Gauff
No
Amanda Anisimova
No
Mirra Andreeva
No
Barbora Krejčíková
No
Ekaterina Alexandrova
No
Ashlyn Krueger
No
Elise Mertens
No
Xinyu Wang
No
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
No
Yulia Putintseva
No
Jelena Ostapenko
No
Maria Sakkari
No
Anna Kalinskaya
No
Serena Williams
No
Aryna Sabalenka
No
Madison Keys
No
Jessica Pegula
No
Victoria Mboko
No
Ons Jabeur
No
Tatjana Maria
No
Solana Sierra
No
Sonay Kartal
No
Beatriz Haddad Maia
No
Marie Bouzková
No
Diana Shnaider
No
Alexandra Eala
No
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Aryna Sabalenka holds the top implied probability at 22.5% entering the 2026 Wimbledon grass-court swing, buoyed by her dominant hard-court results and world No. 1 ranking, though her limited grass success and recent French Open quarterfinal exit to Diana Shnaider temper expectations. Elena Rybakina follows at 16.5% thanks to her 2022 title, powerful serve, and strong 2026 form including an Australian Open crown. Mirra Andreeva (9.4%) and defending champion Iga Świątek (9.0%) sit close behind, with Andreeva riding recent Grand Slam momentum and Świątek leveraging proven Wimbledon adaptation. Multiple players bring comparable grass credentials, recent title contention, and schedule flexibility in the pre-tournament warm-ups, keeping the field tightly bunched with no single standout edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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