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icon for 3M Open: Albatross?

3M Open: Albatross?

icon for 3M Open: Albatross?

3M Open: Albatross?

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.The extreme rarity of an albatross on the PGA Tour underpins the strong trader consensus against one occurring at the 2026 3M Open. Only about three such scores are recorded league-wide each year across dozens of events, as they require holing a long second shot on a par-5 or an ace on a par-4—outcomes that demand perfect execution amid firm greens, strategic pin placements, and water hazards at TPC Twin Cities. With the tournament already underway in late July and multiple rounds completed without reports of the feat, the remaining play offers limited additional opportunity. While an unexpected perfect strike on one of the reachable par-5s could still shift momentum, the historical base rate and current conditions make any change highly improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.
Volume
$477
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 10:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.The extreme rarity of an albatross on the PGA Tour underpins the strong trader consensus against one occurring at the 2026 3M Open. Only about three such scores are recorded league-wide each year across dozens of events, as they require holing a long second shot on a par-5 or an ace on a par-4—outcomes that demand perfect execution amid firm greens, strategic pin placements, and water hazards at TPC Twin Cities. With the tournament already underway in late July and multiple rounds completed without reports of the feat, the remaining play offers limited additional opportunity. While an unexpected perfect strike on one of the reachable par-5s could still shift momentum, the historical base rate and current conditions make any change highly improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.
Volume
$477
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 10:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If the 2026 3M Open is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"3M Open: Albatross?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"3M Open: Albatross?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "3M Open: Albatross?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "3M Open: Albatross?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "3M Open: Albatross?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.