ABC canceled *The Bachelorette* Season 22 in March 2026, days before its planned premiere, after TMZ released 2023 footage of lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a violent altercation with her ex-partner. Disney Entertainment Television cited the need to support the family and has not moved forward with airing the already-filmed season starring the *Secret Lives of Mormon Wives* star. This decisive network action underpins the overwhelming 91.5% market-implied probability on cancellation, as the unaired episodes leave no official winner. Individual suitors such as Doug Mason remain under 4% because traders view resolution to any contestant as unlikely absent a surprise release. An upset would require ABC or Hulu to greenlight the footage before the November 2026 deadline, allowing the finale to crown a winner per standard franchise rules.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBachelorette Season 22 Winner
Other (Season Cancelled) 92%
Doug Mason 3.6%
Casey Hux <1%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
$2,467,393 Vol.
$2,467,393 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
92%
Doug Mason
4%
Casey Hux
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Marcus Richardson
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Ronn Perez
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Other (Season Cancelled) 92%
Doug Mason 3.6%
Casey Hux <1%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
$2,467,393 Vol.
$2,467,393 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
92%
Doug Mason
4%
Casey Hux
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Marcus Richardson
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Ronn Perez
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ABC canceled *The Bachelorette* Season 22 in March 2026, days before its planned premiere, after TMZ released 2023 footage of lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a violent altercation with her ex-partner. Disney Entertainment Television cited the need to support the family and has not moved forward with airing the already-filmed season starring the *Secret Lives of Mormon Wives* star. This decisive network action underpins the overwhelming 91.5% market-implied probability on cancellation, as the unaired episodes leave no official winner. Individual suitors such as Doug Mason remain under 4% because traders view resolution to any contestant as unlikely absent a surprise release. An upset would require ABC or Hulu to greenlight the footage before the November 2026 deadline, allowing the finale to crown a winner per standard franchise rules.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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