Recent tracking estimates from Box Office Pro and industry analysts project Zach Cregger’s Resident Evil reboot for a $40–50 million domestic opening weekend on September 18, the strongest debut in franchise history and ahead of prior peaks like Afterlife’s $26.7 million. This momentum stems from Cregger’s proven horror track record with Barbarian and Weapons, solid 51–52% awareness metrics, R-rated buzz, and aggressive marketing including recent ticket sales and first-person clips. Traders appear to price in upside potential from presales and genre timing while factoring competition from Practical Magic 2 the prior week and typical horror variability, resulting in tightly matched probabilities across the $50–70 million+ ranges. Final updates ahead of the Fantastic Fest premiere could shift sentiment quickly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office
55-60m 24%
60-65m 24%
65-70m 24%
70m+ 24%
<50m
22%
50-55m
24%
55-60m
24%
60-65m
24%
65-70m
24%
70m+
24%
55-60m 24%
60-65m 24%
65-70m 24%
70m+ 24%
<50m
22%
50-55m
24%
55-60m
24%
60-65m
24%
65-70m
24%
70m+
24%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tracking estimates from Box Office Pro and industry analysts project Zach Cregger’s Resident Evil reboot for a $40–50 million domestic opening weekend on September 18, the strongest debut in franchise history and ahead of prior peaks like Afterlife’s $26.7 million. This momentum stems from Cregger’s proven horror track record with Barbarian and Weapons, solid 51–52% awareness metrics, R-rated buzz, and aggressive marketing including recent ticket sales and first-person clips. Traders appear to price in upside potential from presales and genre timing while factoring competition from Practical Magic 2 the prior week and typical horror variability, resulting in tightly matched probabilities across the $50–70 million+ ranges. Final updates ahead of the Fantastic Fest premiere could shift sentiment quickly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions