Julianne Moore holds the clearest lead in the early 2027 Best Actress market thanks to glowing Telluride reception for her lead turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the Academy’s preferred veteran comeback story. Traders have priced in her five-time nominee status and the film’s strong awards positioning ahead of its December release. Inde Navarrette sits next at a distant but notable level on the strength of Focus Features’ full campaign push for her chilling lead in the horror hit *Obsession*, including recent festival and critics’ recognition. Lower-priced contenders such as Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and Virginie Efira reflect solid precursor potential but lack the same immediate momentum. With no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and festival season still unfolding, the market remains fluid ahead of key late-2026 releases and early-2027 precursors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 18%
Renate Reinsve 10%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$130,077 Vol.
$130,077 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
64%
Inde Navarrette
18%
Renate Reinsve
10%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Ruth Madeley
<1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 18%
Renate Reinsve 10%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$130,077 Vol.
$130,077 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Julianne Moore
$88,332 Vol.
64%
Inde Navarrette
$23,214 Vol.
18%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 Vol.
10%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 Vol.
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 Vol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 Vol.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 Vol.
1%
Ruth Madeley
$683 Vol.
<1%
Léa Seydoux
$842 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 Vol.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore holds the clearest lead in the early 2027 Best Actress market thanks to glowing Telluride reception for her lead turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the Academy’s preferred veteran comeback story. Traders have priced in her five-time nominee status and the film’s strong awards positioning ahead of its December release. Inde Navarrette sits next at a distant but notable level on the strength of Focus Features’ full campaign push for her chilling lead in the horror hit *Obsession*, including recent festival and critics’ recognition. Lower-priced contenders such as Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and Virginie Efira reflect solid precursor potential but lack the same immediate momentum. With no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and festival season still unfolding, the market remains fluid ahead of key late-2026 releases and early-2027 precursors.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$130,077End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore holds the clearest lead in the early 2027 Best Actress market thanks to glowing Telluride reception for her lead turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the Academy’s preferred veteran comeback story. Traders have priced in her five-time nominee status and the film’s strong awards positioning ahead of its December release. Inde Navarrette sits next at a distant but notable level on the strength of Focus Features’ full campaign push for her chilling lead in the horror hit *Obsession*, including recent festival and critics’ recognition. Lower-priced contenders such as Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and Virginie Efira reflect solid precursor potential but lack the same immediate momentum. With no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and festival season still unfolding, the market remains fluid ahead of key late-2026 releases and early-2027 precursors.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$130,077End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore holds the clearest lead in the early 2027 Best Actress market thanks to glowing Telluride reception for her lead turn in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the Academy’s preferred veteran comeback story. Traders have priced in her five-time nominee status and the film’s strong awards positioning ahead of its December release. Inde Navarrette sits next at a distant but notable level on the strength of Focus Features’ full campaign push for her chilling lead in the horror hit *Obsession*, including recent festival and critics’ recognition. Lower-priced contenders such as Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and Virginie Efira reflect solid precursor potential but lack the same immediate momentum. With no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and festival season still unfolding, the market remains fluid ahead of key late-2026 releases and early-2027 precursors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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