Skip to main content
icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Josh Allen 12%

Lamar Jackson 9%

Matthew Stafford 8%

Justin Herbert 7%

Polymarket

$263,443 Vol.

Josh Allen 12%

Lamar Jackson 9%

Matthew Stafford 8%

Justin Herbert 7%

Polymarket

$263,443 Vol.

Josh Allen

$2,420 Vol.

12%

Lamar Jackson

$16,948 Vol.

9%

Matthew Stafford

$1,584 Vol.

8%

Justin Herbert

$1,021 Vol.

7%

Patrick Mahomes

$339 Vol.

7%

Drake Maye

$1,519 Vol.

7%

Caleb Williams

$3,166 Vol.

5%

Joe Burrow

$7,124 Vol.

5%

Dak Prescott

$739 Vol.

4%

Jordan Love

$7 Vol.

4%

Brock Purdy

$767 Vol.

3%

Trevor Lawrence

$62 Vol.

3%

Sam Darnold

$759 Vol.

3%

Jalen Hurts

$1,518 Vol.

2%

Bo Nix

$971 Vol.

2%

Baker Mayfield

$98,828 Vol.

2%

Jaxson Dart

$202 Vol.

2%

Jared Goff

$7 Vol.

2%

Christian McCaffrey

$1,328 Vol.

1%

Justin Jefferson

$3,680 Vol.

1%

Myles Garrett

$1,189 Vol.

1%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$311 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$1,494 Vol.

1%

Saquon Barkley

$115,873 Vol.

1%

Derrick Henry

$116 Vol.

<1%

De'Von Achane

$1,470 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jaxson Smith-Njigba leads early 2026-27 NFL MVP odds at 29.8% implied probability after his record-setting 2025 campaign, where he captured Offensive Player of the Year honors with 1,793 receiving yards and 119 receptions while powering the Seahawks' Super Bowl run. Defending OPOY status, a major contract extension, and projected receiving-yard leadership create a rare non-quarterback frontrunner narrative. Traditional contenders like Josh Allen, Drake Maye, and Lamar Jackson sit in the second tier around 11%, reflecting their proven volume, efficiency, and playoff pedigree in quarterback-heavy MVP voting. Running backs such as Derrick Henry and De'Von Achane factor in via workload and efficiency metrics, but the wide field underscores how recent positional breakthroughs and roster stability differentiate JSN from established signal-callers entering the new season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$263,443
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jaxson Smith-Njigba leads early 2026-27 NFL MVP odds at 29.8% implied probability after his record-setting 2025 campaign, where he captured Offensive Player of the Year honors with 1,793 receiving yards and 119 receptions while powering the Seahawks' Super Bowl run. Defending OPOY status, a major contract extension, and projected receiving-yard leadership create a rare non-quarterback frontrunner narrative. Traditional contenders like Josh Allen, Drake Maye, and Lamar Jackson sit in the second tier around 11%, reflecting their proven volume, efficiency, and playoff pedigree in quarterback-heavy MVP voting. Running backs such as Derrick Henry and De'Von Achane factor in via workload and efficiency metrics, but the wide field underscores how recent positional breakthroughs and roster stability differentiate JSN from established signal-callers entering the new season.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$263,443
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

Related

icon for Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

81%
icon for Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

75%
icon for Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

73%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Allen" at 12%, followed by "Lamar Jackson" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" has generated $263.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Josh Allen" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lamar Jackson" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.