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icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Lamar Jackson 12%

Justin Herbert 12%

Josh Allen 11%

Joe Burrow 10.1%

Polymarket

$741,538 Vol.

Lamar Jackson 12%

Justin Herbert 12%

Josh Allen 11%

Joe Burrow 10.1%

Polymarket

$741,538 Vol.

Lamar Jackson

$43,708 Vol.

12%

Justin Herbert

$65,281 Vol.

12%

Josh Allen

$15,570 Vol.

11%

Joe Burrow

$22,498 Vol.

10%

Drake Maye

$23,287 Vol.

10%

Dak Prescott

$29,373 Vol.

9%

Caleb Williams

$22,714 Vol.

7%

Patrick Mahomes

$9,596 Vol.

6%

Matthew Stafford

$15,595 Vol.

4%

Brock Purdy

$19,614 Vol.

3%

Jared Goff

$20,099 Vol.

3%

Jordan Love

$12,013 Vol.

3%

Trevor Lawrence

$10,713 Vol.

3%

Jalen Hurts

$14,033 Vol.

2%

Bo Nix

$14,976 Vol.

2%

Baker Mayfield

$124,515 Vol.

2%

Jaxson Dart

$23,226 Vol.

1%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$16,187 Vol.

1%

Sam Darnold

$13,107 Vol.

<1%

Saquon Barkley

$131,681 Vol.

<1%

De'Von Achane

$7,760 Vol.

<1%

Puka Nacua

$6,072 Vol.

<1%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$12,477 Vol.

<1%

Bijan Robinson

$7,332 Vol.

<1%

Player J

$11,632 Vol.

<1%

Christian McCaffrey

$11,346 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Henry

$8,399 Vol.

<1%

Justin Jefferson

$14,306 Vol.

<1%

Myles Garrett

$14,429 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL MVP market reflects a crowded field of quarterback contenders entering Week 1, with implied probabilities clustered tightly among established stars and rising talents. Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Josh Allen, and Joe Burrow sit atop the board due to their proven dual-threat or passing efficiency, favorable team outlooks in Baltimore, Los Angeles, Buffalo, and Cincinnati, and strong 2025 performances that position them for high-volume production. Drake Maye, Dak Prescott, Caleb Williams, and Matthew Stafford follow closely, buoyed by recent form, roster stability, or repeat-winner precedent for the reigning MVP. Non-quarterbacks remain long shots, consistent with voting patterns that have favored passers in 18 of the past 19 seasons. This bunching stems from comparable paths to 12-plus wins across multiple AFC and NFC contenders without any single player separating via injury news or schedule advantages.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$741,538
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL MVP market reflects a crowded field of quarterback contenders entering Week 1, with implied probabilities clustered tightly among established stars and rising talents. Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Josh Allen, and Joe Burrow sit atop the board due to their proven dual-threat or passing efficiency, favorable team outlooks in Baltimore, Los Angeles, Buffalo, and Cincinnati, and strong 2025 performances that position them for high-volume production. Drake Maye, Dak Prescott, Caleb Williams, and Matthew Stafford follow closely, buoyed by recent form, roster stability, or repeat-winner precedent for the reigning MVP. Non-quarterbacks remain long shots, consistent with voting patterns that have favored passers in 18 of the past 19 seasons. This bunching stems from comparable paths to 12-plus wins across multiple AFC and NFC contenders without any single player separating via injury news or schedule advantages.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$741,538
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lamar Jackson" at 12%, followed by "Justin Herbert" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" has generated $741.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Lamar Jackson" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Herbert" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.