Lionel Messi leads the 2026 MLS MVP market at 67.8% implied probability due to his league-leading 19 goals and double-digit assists through 22 matches for Inter Miami, extending his prior back-to-back MVP form with elite creative output and free-kick threat. Petar Musa sits second at 11.1% on the strength of 18 goals for FC Dallas, while Nashville’s Sam Surridge (15 goals) benefits from his club’s Eastern Conference lead. Evander’s 13 goals and 10 assists for Cincinnati, alongside Denis Bouanga’s scoring for LAFC, keep secondary contenders in play, though none match Messi’s combination of volume, efficiency, and market visibility this deep into the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLionel Messi 68.5%
Evander 14.3%
Petar Musa 11.1%
Sam Surridge 8.5%
$69,948 Vol.
$69,948 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Lionel Messi
69%
Evander
9%
Petar Musa
11%
Sam Surridge
9%
Denis Bouanga
4%
Philip Zinckernagel
3%
Luis Suárez
2%
Carles Gil
2%
Son Heung-min
2%
Emil Forsberg
2%
Thomas Müller
2%
Diego Luna
1%
Martin Ojeda
1%
Sergio Busquets
1%
Dejan Joveljic
<1%
Anders Dreyer
<1%
Lionel Messi 68.5%
Evander 14.3%
Petar Musa 11.1%
Sam Surridge 8.5%
$69,948 Vol.
$69,948 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Lionel Messi
$6,385 Vol.
69%
Evander
$2,328 Vol.
9%
Petar Musa
$2,193 Vol.
11%
Sam Surridge
$872 Vol.
9%
Denis Bouanga
$564 Vol.
4%
Philip Zinckernagel
$3,635 Vol.
3%
Luis Suárez
$1,782 Vol.
2%
Carles Gil
$737 Vol.
2%
Son Heung-min
$14,435 Vol.
2%
Emil Forsberg
$566 Vol.
2%
Thomas Müller
$374 Vol.
2%
Diego Luna
$10,563 Vol.
1%
Martin Ojeda
$22,174 Vol.
1%
Sergio Busquets
$1,801 Vol.
1%
Dejan Joveljic
$551 Vol.
<1%
Anders Dreyer
$989 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Landon Donovan Most Valuable Player.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lionel Messi leads the 2026 MLS MVP market at 67.8% implied probability due to his league-leading 19 goals and double-digit assists through 22 matches for Inter Miami, extending his prior back-to-back MVP form with elite creative output and free-kick threat. Petar Musa sits second at 11.1% on the strength of 18 goals for FC Dallas, while Nashville’s Sam Surridge (15 goals) benefits from his club’s Eastern Conference lead. Evander’s 13 goals and 10 assists for Cincinnati, alongside Denis Bouanga’s scoring for LAFC, keep secondary contenders in play, though none match Messi’s combination of volume, efficiency, and market visibility this deep into the season.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Landon Donovan Most Valuable Player.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$69,948End Date
Nov 22, 2026Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Landon Donovan Most Valuable Player.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lionel Messi leads the 2026 MLS MVP market at 67.8% implied probability due to his league-leading 19 goals and double-digit assists through 22 matches for Inter Miami, extending his prior back-to-back MVP form with elite creative output and free-kick threat. Petar Musa sits second at 11.1% on the strength of 18 goals for FC Dallas, while Nashville’s Sam Surridge (15 goals) benefits from his club’s Eastern Conference lead. Evander’s 13 goals and 10 assists for Cincinnati, alongside Denis Bouanga’s scoring for LAFC, keep secondary contenders in play, though none match Messi’s combination of volume, efficiency, and market visibility this deep into the season.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Landon Donovan Most Valuable Player.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69,948End Date
Nov 22, 2026Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lionel Messi leads the 2026 MLS MVP market at 67.8% implied probability due to his league-leading 19 goals and double-digit assists through 22 matches for Inter Miami, extending his prior back-to-back MVP form with elite creative output and free-kick threat. Petar Musa sits second at 11.1% on the strength of 18 goals for FC Dallas, while Nashville’s Sam Surridge (15 goals) benefits from his club’s Eastern Conference lead. Evander’s 13 goals and 10 assists for Cincinnati, alongside Denis Bouanga’s scoring for LAFC, keep secondary contenders in play, though none match Messi’s combination of volume, efficiency, and market visibility this deep into the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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