**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** leads trader sentiment in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category at 74.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative and record nine nominations, including the series slot. The program earned its first Emmy in 2025 after cancellation and benefits from guild and critical recognition plus voter goodwill for a farewell send-off. The Television Academy’s new “area” award format—where nominees are evaluated independently against a high approval threshold—further supports a strong consensus around Colbert while allowing potential multiple winners if others clear the bar. Last Week Tonight, SNL, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail with single-digit odds, reflecting their established profiles but less urgent momentum heading into final voting and the September 14 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.2%
“Saturday Night Live” 3.1%
“The Daily Show” 2.4%
$106,888 Vol.
$106,888 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
8%
“Saturday Night Live”
3%
“The Daily Show”
2%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
2%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.2%
“Saturday Night Live” 3.1%
“The Daily Show” 2.4%
$106,888 Vol.
$106,888 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
$34,568 Vol.
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$20,488 Vol.
8%
“Saturday Night Live”
$12,630 Vol.
3%
“The Daily Show”
$13,800 Vol.
2%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
$25,402 Vol.
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** leads trader sentiment in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category at 74.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative and record nine nominations, including the series slot. The program earned its first Emmy in 2025 after cancellation and benefits from guild and critical recognition plus voter goodwill for a farewell send-off. The Television Academy’s new “area” award format—where nominees are evaluated independently against a high approval threshold—further supports a strong consensus around Colbert while allowing potential multiple winners if others clear the bar. Last Week Tonight, SNL, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail with single-digit odds, reflecting their established profiles but less urgent momentum heading into final voting and the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Volume
$106,888End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** leads trader sentiment in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category at 74.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative and record nine nominations, including the series slot. The program earned its first Emmy in 2025 after cancellation and benefits from guild and critical recognition plus voter goodwill for a farewell send-off. The Television Academy’s new “area” award format—where nominees are evaluated independently against a high approval threshold—further supports a strong consensus around Colbert while allowing potential multiple winners if others clear the bar. Last Week Tonight, SNL, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail with single-digit odds, reflecting their established profiles but less urgent momentum heading into final voting and the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$106,888End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert** leads trader sentiment in the merged Outstanding Variety Series category at 74.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative and record nine nominations, including the series slot. The program earned its first Emmy in 2025 after cancellation and benefits from guild and critical recognition plus voter goodwill for a farewell send-off. The Television Academy’s new “area” award format—where nominees are evaluated independently against a high approval threshold—further supports a strong consensus around Colbert while allowing potential multiple winners if others clear the bar. Last Week Tonight, SNL, The Daily Show, and Jimmy Kimmel Live! trail with single-digit odds, reflecting their established profiles but less urgent momentum heading into final voting and the September 14 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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