Betty Gilpin leads the market at 45.5% implied probability for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series, propelled by Widow’s Bay’s breakout success and its 19 total Emmy nominations in its debut season. The Apple TV+ series has generated strong industry narrative around its originality, helping elevate Gilpin’s guest turn above established contenders. Jamie Lee Curtis sits second at 17% on the strength of her recurring The Bear appearances and proven Emmy appeal, while Hacks fields five nominees—Kaitlin Olson, Cherry Jones, Leslie Bibb, Laurie Metcalf, and Lauren Weedman—who collectively hold about 35% but risk splitting votes. Nominations were announced in early July, and the September ceremony remains the key resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” 45.5%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” 16.9%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” 13.1%
Cherry Jones – “Hacks” 6.5%
$55,239 Vol.
$55,239 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay”
45%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear”
17%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks”
13%
Cherry Jones – “Hacks”
6%
Leslie Bibb – “Hacks”
6%
Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks”
6%
Lauren Weedman – “Hacks”
4%
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” 45.5%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” 16.9%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” 13.1%
Cherry Jones – “Hacks” 6.5%
$55,239 Vol.
$55,239 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay”
$16,580 Vol.
45%
Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear”
$1,988 Vol.
17%
Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks”
$30,967 Vol.
13%
Cherry Jones – “Hacks”
$1,025 Vol.
6%
Leslie Bibb – “Hacks”
$2,358 Vol.
6%
Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks”
$1,151 Vol.
6%
Lauren Weedman – “Hacks”
$1,170 Vol.
4%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Betty Gilpin leads the market at 45.5% implied probability for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series, propelled by Widow’s Bay’s breakout success and its 19 total Emmy nominations in its debut season. The Apple TV+ series has generated strong industry narrative around its originality, helping elevate Gilpin’s guest turn above established contenders. Jamie Lee Curtis sits second at 17% on the strength of her recurring The Bear appearances and proven Emmy appeal, while Hacks fields five nominees—Kaitlin Olson, Cherry Jones, Leslie Bibb, Laurie Metcalf, and Lauren Weedman—who collectively hold about 35% but risk splitting votes. Nominations were announced in early July, and the September ceremony remains the key resolution date.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ET
Volume
$55,239End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Betty Gilpin leads the market at 45.5% implied probability for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series, propelled by Widow’s Bay’s breakout success and its 19 total Emmy nominations in its debut season. The Apple TV+ series has generated strong industry narrative around its originality, helping elevate Gilpin’s guest turn above established contenders. Jamie Lee Curtis sits second at 17% on the strength of her recurring The Bear appearances and proven Emmy appeal, while Hacks fields five nominees—Kaitlin Olson, Cherry Jones, Leslie Bibb, Laurie Metcalf, and Lauren Weedman—who collectively hold about 35% but risk splitting votes. Nominations were announced in early July, and the September ceremony remains the key resolution date.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$55,239End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Betty Gilpin leads the market at 45.5% implied probability for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series, propelled by Widow’s Bay’s breakout success and its 19 total Emmy nominations in its debut season. The Apple TV+ series has generated strong industry narrative around its originality, helping elevate Gilpin’s guest turn above established contenders. Jamie Lee Curtis sits second at 17% on the strength of her recurring The Bear appearances and proven Emmy appeal, while Hacks fields five nominees—Kaitlin Olson, Cherry Jones, Leslie Bibb, Laurie Metcalf, and Lauren Weedman—who collectively hold about 35% but risk splitting votes. Nominations were announced in early July, and the September ceremony remains the key resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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