Kate O’Flynn leads the market at nearly 80% implied probability due to the breakout success of Apple TV+ horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay,” which earned 19 Emmy nominations and eight Creative Arts wins in early September. The freshman series’ critical buzz, distinctive tone, and strong ensemble positioned O’Flynn as the clear frontrunner in a category that often rewards fresh momentum and standout supporting turns. Defending champ Hannah Einbinder from final-season “Hacks” sits second at 17%, backed by the show’s record 24 nods and her prior win, while Michelle Pfeiffer’s turn in “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” and veterans like Janelle James trail with limited late momentum. Final voting closes just before the September 14 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 80.0%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 17%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.1%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” 1.9%
$45,088 Vol.
$45,088 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
80%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
17%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
3%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
2%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
1%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
1%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
1%
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 80.0%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 17%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.1%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” 1.9%
$45,088 Vol.
$45,088 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
$23,541 Vol.
80%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
$13,411 Vol.
17%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
$1,855 Vol.
3%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
$1,404 Vol.
2%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
$1,521 Vol.
1%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
$1,833 Vol.
1%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
$1,523 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kate O’Flynn leads the market at nearly 80% implied probability due to the breakout success of Apple TV+ horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay,” which earned 19 Emmy nominations and eight Creative Arts wins in early September. The freshman series’ critical buzz, distinctive tone, and strong ensemble positioned O’Flynn as the clear frontrunner in a category that often rewards fresh momentum and standout supporting turns. Defending champ Hannah Einbinder from final-season “Hacks” sits second at 17%, backed by the show’s record 24 nods and her prior win, while Michelle Pfeiffer’s turn in “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” and veterans like Janelle James trail with limited late momentum. Final voting closes just before the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$45,088End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kate O’Flynn leads the market at nearly 80% implied probability due to the breakout success of Apple TV+ horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay,” which earned 19 Emmy nominations and eight Creative Arts wins in early September. The freshman series’ critical buzz, distinctive tone, and strong ensemble positioned O’Flynn as the clear frontrunner in a category that often rewards fresh momentum and standout supporting turns. Defending champ Hannah Einbinder from final-season “Hacks” sits second at 17%, backed by the show’s record 24 nods and her prior win, while Michelle Pfeiffer’s turn in “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” and veterans like Janelle James trail with limited late momentum. Final voting closes just before the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,088End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kate O’Flynn leads the market at nearly 80% implied probability due to the breakout success of Apple TV+ horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay,” which earned 19 Emmy nominations and eight Creative Arts wins in early September. The freshman series’ critical buzz, distinctive tone, and strong ensemble positioned O’Flynn as the clear frontrunner in a category that often rewards fresh momentum and standout supporting turns. Defending champ Hannah Einbinder from final-season “Hacks” sits second at 17%, backed by the show’s record 24 nods and her prior win, while Michelle Pfeiffer’s turn in “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” and veterans like Janelle James trail with limited late momentum. Final voting closes just before the September 14 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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