Hacks’ record 24 Emmy nominations for its fifth and final season, announced in July, anchor trader consensus around 2-3 total wins at roughly 60% implied probability. The HBO Max comedy’s farewell campaign, building on 12 prior victories including a 2024 series win and Jean Smart’s four consecutive lead actress trophies, fuels expectations for Smart to complete a perfect five-for-five sweep while adding supporting or technical nods. Yet momentum has shifted toward Apple TV+ newcomer Widow’s Bay after its dominant Creative Arts performance, illustrating how Emmy voters often spread awards across contenders rather than allowing sweeps. With the September 14 ceremony imminent, final voter sentiment on series and acting categories remains the key swing factor limiting upside beyond three wins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Emmys will “Hacks” win?
How many Emmys will “Hacks” win?
2-3 61%
0-1 38.4%
4-5 2.8%
6-7 <1%
$115,825 Vol.
$115,825 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
0-1
38%
2-3
61%
4-5
3%
6-7
1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
2-3 61%
0-1 38.4%
4-5 2.8%
6-7 <1%
$115,825 Vol.
$115,825 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
0-1
$9,517 Vol.
38%
2-3
$57,441 Vol.
61%
4-5
$30,416 Vol.
3%
6-7
$8,266 Vol.
1%
8-9
$5,391 Vol.
<1%
10+
$4,794 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hacks’ record 24 Emmy nominations for its fifth and final season, announced in July, anchor trader consensus around 2-3 total wins at roughly 60% implied probability. The HBO Max comedy’s farewell campaign, building on 12 prior victories including a 2024 series win and Jean Smart’s four consecutive lead actress trophies, fuels expectations for Smart to complete a perfect five-for-five sweep while adding supporting or technical nods. Yet momentum has shifted toward Apple TV+ newcomer Widow’s Bay after its dominant Creative Arts performance, illustrating how Emmy voters often spread awards across contenders rather than allowing sweeps. With the September 14 ceremony imminent, final voter sentiment on series and acting categories remains the key swing factor limiting upside beyond three wins.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$115,825End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hacks’ record 24 Emmy nominations for its fifth and final season, announced in July, anchor trader consensus around 2-3 total wins at roughly 60% implied probability. The HBO Max comedy’s farewell campaign, building on 12 prior victories including a 2024 series win and Jean Smart’s four consecutive lead actress trophies, fuels expectations for Smart to complete a perfect five-for-five sweep while adding supporting or technical nods. Yet momentum has shifted toward Apple TV+ newcomer Widow’s Bay after its dominant Creative Arts performance, illustrating how Emmy voters often spread awards across contenders rather than allowing sweeps. With the September 14 ceremony imminent, final voter sentiment on series and acting categories remains the key swing factor limiting upside beyond three wins.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Hacks," or by people for their roles in "Hacks," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$115,825End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hacks’ record 24 Emmy nominations for its fifth and final season, announced in July, anchor trader consensus around 2-3 total wins at roughly 60% implied probability. The HBO Max comedy’s farewell campaign, building on 12 prior victories including a 2024 series win and Jean Smart’s four consecutive lead actress trophies, fuels expectations for Smart to complete a perfect five-for-five sweep while adding supporting or technical nods. Yet momentum has shifted toward Apple TV+ newcomer Widow’s Bay after its dominant Creative Arts performance, illustrating how Emmy voters often spread awards across contenders rather than allowing sweeps. With the September 14 ceremony imminent, final voter sentiment on series and acting categories remains the key swing factor limiting upside beyond three wins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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