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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Channing Tatum 43.1%

Robert De Niro 42%

Himesh Patel 41%

Tom Holland 41%

Polymarket
NEW

Channing Tatum 43.1%

Robert De Niro 42%

Himesh Patel 41%

Tom Holland 41%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Channing Tatum

Channing Tatum

$20 Vol.

43%

icon for Robert De Niro

Robert De Niro

$20 Vol.

42%

icon for Himesh Patel

Himesh Patel

$20 Vol.

41%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$20 Vol.

41%

icon for Colman Domingo

Colman Domingo

$20 Vol.

41%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$20 Vol.

39%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$20 Vol.

39%

icon for Steve Buscemi

Steve Buscemi

$20 Vol.

39%

icon for Riz Ahmed

Riz Ahmed

$20 Vol.

39%

icon for Jesse Plemons

Jesse Plemons

$20 Vol.

39%

icon for Paul Giamatti

Paul Giamatti

$20 Vol.

38%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$20 Vol.

38%

icon for Travis Scott

Travis Scott

$20 Vol.

37%

icon for Adam Scott

Adam Scott

$20 Vol.

36%

icon for John Goodman

John Goodman

$20 Vol.

36%

icon for James Ortiz

James Ortiz

$20 Vol.

36%

icon for Daniel Craig

Daniel Craig

$20 Vol.

34%

icon for Edward Norton

Edward Norton

$20 Vol.

-

icon for Michael Fassbender

Michael Fassbender

$20 Vol.

-

icon for Charles Melton

Charles Melton

$20 Vol.

40%

icon for Miles Teller

Miles Teller

$20 Vol.

39%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Supporting Actor race remains wide open in early August 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field of veteran performers attached to anticipated 2026 releases. Strong early positioning for actors like Paul Giamatti in The Debut, Sam Rockwell and ensemble players in Wild Horse Nine, and John Goodman in Digger stems from high-profile casting announcements and directors with proven awards traction, yet no film has screened or earned guild attention. Traders weigh historical patterns where supporting categories reward scene-stealing turns in ensemble dramas over star power alone, while noting risks from unproven scripts and shifting release schedules. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and first critic reactions that could consolidate momentum among frontrunners.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$420
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Supporting Actor race remains wide open in early August 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field of veteran performers attached to anticipated 2026 releases. Strong early positioning for actors like Paul Giamatti in The Debut, Sam Rockwell and ensemble players in Wild Horse Nine, and John Goodman in Digger stems from high-profile casting announcements and directors with proven awards traction, yet no film has screened or earned guild attention. Traders weigh historical patterns where supporting categories reward scene-stealing turns in ensemble dramas over star power alone, while noting risks from unproven scripts and shifting release schedules. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and first critic reactions that could consolidate momentum among frontrunners.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$420
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Channing Tatum" at 43%, followed by "Robert De Niro" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is "Channing Tatum" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert De Niro" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.