As the 2027 Oscars race sits in its early stages with 2026 releases still unfolding, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress shows Anne Hathaway holding a modest lead at 57.5% implied probability amid broad uncertainty across a crowded field. Many other actresses cluster near 50%, signaling no dominant frontrunner has crystallized from precursor awards, guild nominations, or critical consensus yet. Lower odds for names like Penélope Cruz at 14.5% and emerging talents reflect the category’s historical volatility, where late-year festival premieres, box office performance, and eventual Academy voter narratives can rapidly reshape positioning ahead of key milestones like the Golden Globes and SAG-AFTRA announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Anne Hathaway 57%
Penélope Cruz 15%
Mariana di Girolamo 6.8%
Sandra Hüller 5.3%
$27,637 Vol.
$27,637 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Anne Hathaway
57%
Penélope Cruz
15%
Mariana di Girolamo
7%
Sandra Hüller
5%
Betty Gilpin
5%
Zendaya
5%
Tao Okamoto
4%
Margaret Qualley
4%
Parker Posey
3%
Isabella Rossellini
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
3%
Gemma Chan
2%
Inde Navarrette
2%
Anne Hathaway 57%
Penélope Cruz 15%
Mariana di Girolamo 6.8%
Sandra Hüller 5.3%
$27,637 Vol.
$27,637 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Anne Hathaway
$23,428 Vol.
57%
Penélope Cruz
$1,330 Vol.
15%
Mariana di Girolamo
$293 Vol.
7%
Sandra Hüller
$444 Vol.
5%
Betty Gilpin
$268 Vol.
5%
Zendaya
$213 Vol.
5%
Tao Okamoto
$191 Vol.
4%
Margaret Qualley
$253 Vol.
4%
Parker Posey
$292 Vol.
3%
Isabella Rossellini
$70 Vol.
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
$222 Vol.
3%
Gemma Chan
$130 Vol.
2%
Inde Navarrette
$502 Vol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As the 2027 Oscars race sits in its early stages with 2026 releases still unfolding, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress shows Anne Hathaway holding a modest lead at 57.5% implied probability amid broad uncertainty across a crowded field. Many other actresses cluster near 50%, signaling no dominant frontrunner has crystallized from precursor awards, guild nominations, or critical consensus yet. Lower odds for names like Penélope Cruz at 14.5% and emerging talents reflect the category’s historical volatility, where late-year festival premieres, box office performance, and eventual Academy voter narratives can rapidly reshape positioning ahead of key milestones like the Golden Globes and SAG-AFTRA announcements.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$27,637End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As the 2027 Oscars race sits in its early stages with 2026 releases still unfolding, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress shows Anne Hathaway holding a modest lead at 57.5% implied probability amid broad uncertainty across a crowded field. Many other actresses cluster near 50%, signaling no dominant frontrunner has crystallized from precursor awards, guild nominations, or critical consensus yet. Lower odds for names like Penélope Cruz at 14.5% and emerging talents reflect the category’s historical volatility, where late-year festival premieres, box office performance, and eventual Academy voter narratives can rapidly reshape positioning ahead of key milestones like the Golden Globes and SAG-AFTRA announcements.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,637End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...As the 2027 Oscars race sits in its early stages with 2026 releases still unfolding, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress shows Anne Hathaway holding a modest lead at 57.5% implied probability amid broad uncertainty across a crowded field. Many other actresses cluster near 50%, signaling no dominant frontrunner has crystallized from precursor awards, guild nominations, or critical consensus yet. Lower odds for names like Penélope Cruz at 14.5% and emerging talents reflect the category’s historical volatility, where late-year festival premieres, box office performance, and eventual Academy voter narratives can rapidly reshape positioning ahead of key milestones like the Golden Globes and SAG-AFTRA announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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