Anne Hathaway’s confirmed supporting actress campaign for Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* serves as the primary catalyst lifting her to frontrunner status at 57.5% implied probability. Universal’s late-September decision to position her as Penelope alongside Samantha Morton’s Circe creates the realistic prospect of dual nominations from a major studio epic, aligning with historical patterns favoring high-profile performances in awards contenders. Penélope Cruz’s post-TIFF momentum in *La Bola Negra* and related projects accounts for her 14.5% standing, while the broad field of 50% contenders reflects early-season uncertainty before guild screenings, critics’ awards, and January 2027 nominations clarify momentum. Traders price in *The Odyssey*’s likely box-office and critical dominance, tempered by the category’s history of upsets driven by late reviews or unexpected guild results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Anne Hathaway 57%
Penélope Cruz 15%
Mariana di Girolamo 8.0%
Sandra Hüller 5.3%
$27,630 Vol.
$27,630 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Anne Hathaway
57%
Penélope Cruz
15%
Mariana di Girolamo
8%
Sandra Hüller
5%
Betty Gilpin
5%
Zendaya
5%
Tao Okamoto
4%
Margaret Qualley
4%
Parker Posey
3%
Isabella Rossellini
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
3%
Inde Navarrette
2%
Gemma Chan
2%
Anne Hathaway 57%
Penélope Cruz 15%
Mariana di Girolamo 8.0%
Sandra Hüller 5.3%
$27,630 Vol.
$27,630 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Anne Hathaway
$23,421 Vol.
57%
Penélope Cruz
$1,330 Vol.
15%
Mariana di Girolamo
$293 Vol.
8%
Sandra Hüller
$444 Vol.
5%
Betty Gilpin
$268 Vol.
5%
Zendaya
$213 Vol.
5%
Tao Okamoto
$191 Vol.
4%
Margaret Qualley
$253 Vol.
4%
Parker Posey
$292 Vol.
3%
Isabella Rossellini
$70 Vol.
3%
Danielle Deadwyler
$222 Vol.
3%
Inde Navarrette
$502 Vol.
2%
Gemma Chan
$130 Vol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anne Hathaway’s confirmed supporting actress campaign for Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* serves as the primary catalyst lifting her to frontrunner status at 57.5% implied probability. Universal’s late-September decision to position her as Penelope alongside Samantha Morton’s Circe creates the realistic prospect of dual nominations from a major studio epic, aligning with historical patterns favoring high-profile performances in awards contenders. Penélope Cruz’s post-TIFF momentum in *La Bola Negra* and related projects accounts for her 14.5% standing, while the broad field of 50% contenders reflects early-season uncertainty before guild screenings, critics’ awards, and January 2027 nominations clarify momentum. Traders price in *The Odyssey*’s likely box-office and critical dominance, tempered by the category’s history of upsets driven by late reviews or unexpected guild results.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$27,630End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anne Hathaway’s confirmed supporting actress campaign for Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* serves as the primary catalyst lifting her to frontrunner status at 57.5% implied probability. Universal’s late-September decision to position her as Penelope alongside Samantha Morton’s Circe creates the realistic prospect of dual nominations from a major studio epic, aligning with historical patterns favoring high-profile performances in awards contenders. Penélope Cruz’s post-TIFF momentum in *La Bola Negra* and related projects accounts for her 14.5% standing, while the broad field of 50% contenders reflects early-season uncertainty before guild screenings, critics’ awards, and January 2027 nominations clarify momentum. Traders price in *The Odyssey*’s likely box-office and critical dominance, tempered by the category’s history of upsets driven by late reviews or unexpected guild results.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,630End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Anne Hathaway’s confirmed supporting actress campaign for Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* serves as the primary catalyst lifting her to frontrunner status at 57.5% implied probability. Universal’s late-September decision to position her as Penelope alongside Samantha Morton’s Circe creates the realistic prospect of dual nominations from a major studio epic, aligning with historical patterns favoring high-profile performances in awards contenders. Penélope Cruz’s post-TIFF momentum in *La Bola Negra* and related projects accounts for her 14.5% standing, while the broad field of 50% contenders reflects early-season uncertainty before guild screenings, critics’ awards, and January 2027 nominations clarify momentum. Traders price in *The Odyssey*’s likely box-office and critical dominance, tempered by the category’s history of upsets driven by late reviews or unexpected guild results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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