The Odyssey holds a narrow edge at 52.5% implied probability, driven by its status as a high-profile Christopher Nolan project with built-in awards pedigree and studio backing. A broad cluster of other titles around 50% reflects the wide-open early stage of the 2026 cycle, where few films have screened and no clear frontrunner has emerged from guild or critics' circles. Lower odds for Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine illustrate how historical voting patterns reward proven directors and late-year critical darlings, yet box-office tracking, festival debuts, and upcoming precursor awards remain key swing factors that could quickly reorder the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The Odyssey 53%
La Bola Negra 17%
Dune: Part Three 14%
Wild Horse Nine 7%
$200,915 Vol.
$200,915 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
The Odyssey
53%
La Bola Negra
17%
Dune: Part Three
14%
Wild Horse Nine
7%
Digger
6%
Project Hail Mary
3%
The Debut
3%
Fjord
3%
The Invite
1%
Behemoth!
1%
The Drama
<1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
<1%
Tony
<1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
Fatherland
<1%
All of a Sudden
<1%
Michael
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
Saturn Return
<1%
Josephine
<1%
The Odyssey 53%
La Bola Negra 17%
Dune: Part Three 14%
Wild Horse Nine 7%
$200,915 Vol.
$200,915 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
The Odyssey
$125,058 Vol.
53%
La Bola Negra
$4,988 Vol.
17%
Dune: Part Three
$18,308 Vol.
14%
Wild Horse Nine
$7,841 Vol.
7%
Digger
$8,554 Vol.
6%
Project Hail Mary
$4,366 Vol.
3%
The Debut
$5,080 Vol.
3%
Fjord
$4,579 Vol.
3%
The Invite
$1,329 Vol.
1%
Behemoth!
$3,774 Vol.
1%
The Drama
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
Tony
$3,378 Vol.
<1%
The Social Reckoning
$1,193 Vol.
<1%
Disclosure Day
$1,244 Vol.
<1%
Fatherland
$1,179 Vol.
<1%
All of a Sudden
$1,198 Vol.
<1%
Michael
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
Clarissa
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
Saturn Return
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
Josephine
$1,295 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds a narrow edge at 52.5% implied probability, driven by its status as a high-profile Christopher Nolan project with built-in awards pedigree and studio backing. A broad cluster of other titles around 50% reflects the wide-open early stage of the 2026 cycle, where few films have screened and no clear frontrunner has emerged from guild or critics' circles. Lower odds for Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine illustrate how historical voting patterns reward proven directors and late-year critical darlings, yet box-office tracking, festival debuts, and upcoming precursor awards remain key swing factors that could quickly reorder the field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volume
$200,915End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds a narrow edge at 52.5% implied probability, driven by its status as a high-profile Christopher Nolan project with built-in awards pedigree and studio backing. A broad cluster of other titles around 50% reflects the wide-open early stage of the 2026 cycle, where few films have screened and no clear frontrunner has emerged from guild or critics' circles. Lower odds for Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine illustrate how historical voting patterns reward proven directors and late-year critical darlings, yet box-office tracking, festival debuts, and upcoming precursor awards remain key swing factors that could quickly reorder the field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$200,915End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey holds a narrow edge at 52.5% implied probability, driven by its status as a high-profile Christopher Nolan project with built-in awards pedigree and studio backing. A broad cluster of other titles around 50% reflects the wide-open early stage of the 2026 cycle, where few films have screened and no clear frontrunner has emerged from guild or critics' circles. Lower odds for Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine illustrate how historical voting patterns reward proven directors and late-year critical darlings, yet box-office tracking, festival debuts, and upcoming precursor awards remain key swing factors that could quickly reorder the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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