The tight spread among leading contenders for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award stems from several hitters posting comparable elite offensive lines through the first four months. Pete Crow-Armstrong's blend of .285 average, 24 home runs, and 26 stolen bases has kept him narrowly ahead in trader consensus, while Shohei Ohtani's sustained power and on-base skills sustain his strong positioning. Kyle Schwarber's run production and extra-base output remain competitive factors as well. With roughly half the season remaining, minor shifts in home-run pace, batting average, or RBI totals among this group could readily alter the implied probabilities before final voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Shohei Ohtani 21%
Kyle Schwarber 15.0%
Francisco Lindor 4.9%
Bryce Harper 1.8%
$142,474 Vol.
$142,474 Vol.
Nov 13, 2026
Shohei Ohtani
21%
Kyle Schwarber
15%
Francisco Lindor
5%
Bryce Harper
2%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
24%
Ketel Marte
1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Shohei Ohtani 21%
Kyle Schwarber 15.0%
Francisco Lindor 4.9%
Bryce Harper 1.8%
$142,474 Vol.
$142,474 Vol.
Nov 13, 2026
Shohei Ohtani
$10,300 Vol.
21%
Kyle Schwarber
$92,423 Vol.
15%
Francisco Lindor
$857 Vol.
5%
Bryce Harper
$1,363 Vol.
2%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
$973 Vol.
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
$256 Vol.
1%
Juan Soto
$35,308 Vol.
1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
$501 Vol.
24%
Ketel Marte
$229 Vol.
1%
Mookie Betts
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight spread among leading contenders for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award stems from several hitters posting comparable elite offensive lines through the first four months. Pete Crow-Armstrong's blend of .285 average, 24 home runs, and 26 stolen bases has kept him narrowly ahead in trader consensus, while Shohei Ohtani's sustained power and on-base skills sustain his strong positioning. Kyle Schwarber's run production and extra-base output remain competitive factors as well. With roughly half the season remaining, minor shifts in home-run pace, batting average, or RBI totals among this group could readily alter the implied probabilities before final voting.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volume
$142,474End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight spread among leading contenders for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award stems from several hitters posting comparable elite offensive lines through the first four months. Pete Crow-Armstrong's blend of .285 average, 24 home runs, and 26 stolen bases has kept him narrowly ahead in trader consensus, while Shohei Ohtani's sustained power and on-base skills sustain his strong positioning. Kyle Schwarber's run production and extra-base output remain competitive factors as well. With roughly half the season remaining, minor shifts in home-run pace, batting average, or RBI totals among this group could readily alter the implied probabilities before final voting.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$142,474End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight spread among leading contenders for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award stems from several hitters posting comparable elite offensive lines through the first four months. Pete Crow-Armstrong's blend of .285 average, 24 home runs, and 26 stolen bases has kept him narrowly ahead in trader consensus, while Shohei Ohtani's sustained power and on-base skills sustain his strong positioning. Kyle Schwarber's run production and extra-base output remain competitive factors as well. With roughly half the season remaining, minor shifts in home-run pace, batting average, or RBI totals among this group could readily alter the implied probabilities before final voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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