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icon for MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

icon for MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

Jacob Misiorowski 94.0%

Cristopher Sanchez 2.8%

Chris Sale 2.6%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto <1%

Polymarket

$1,102,292 Vol.

Jacob Misiorowski 94.0%

Cristopher Sanchez 2.8%

Chris Sale 2.6%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto <1%

Polymarket

$1,102,292 Vol.

Jacob Misiorowski

$34,412 Vol.

94%

Cristopher Sanchez

$55,469 Vol.

3%

Chris Sale

$14,610 Vol.

3%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

$13,045 Vol.

1%

Shohei Ohtani

$23,642 Vol.

1%

Paul Skenes

$30,982 Vol.

1%

Nolan McLean

$587,082 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Woodruff

$108,215 Vol.

<1%

Freddy Peralta

$112,925 Vol.

<1%

Hunter Greene

$1,202 Vol.

<1%

Blake Snell

$1,147 Vol.

<1%

Logan Webb

$1,124 Vol.

<1%

Zack Wheeler

$8,035 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Strider

$751 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Schwellenbach

$619 Vol.

<1%

Jesus Luzardo

$2,473 Vol.

<1%

Tyler Glasnow

$1,906 Vol.

<1%

Michael King

$2,070 Vol.

<1%

Nick Pivetta

$1,322 Vol.

<1%

Nick Lodolo

$799 Vol.

<1%

Eury Perez

$96,463 Vol.

<1%

Mitch Keller

$658 Vol.

<1%

Mason Miller

$3,340 Vol.

<1%

Chase Burns

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Misiorowski of the Milwaukee Brewers holds a dominant position in the 2026 NL Cy Young market due to his league-leading ERA near 1.95, 236 strikeouts, 0.80 WHIP, and an unprecedented volume of 100-plus mph fastballs exceeding 1,000 pitches. The 24-year-old right-hander has improved command from his 2025 debut while maintaining elite swing-and-miss rates and limiting hard contact, building a sizable lead in advanced metrics like fWAR. Trader consensus at 94% reflects this statistical separation with two weeks remaining. Late-season injury, workload management by the Brewers, or a surge from contenders like Chris Sale or Cristopher Sanchez in innings and WAR could still shift outcomes if voters prioritize different criteria.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,102,292
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Misiorowski of the Milwaukee Brewers holds a dominant position in the 2026 NL Cy Young market due to his league-leading ERA near 1.95, 236 strikeouts, 0.80 WHIP, and an unprecedented volume of 100-plus mph fastballs exceeding 1,000 pitches. The 24-year-old right-hander has improved command from his 2025 debut while maintaining elite swing-and-miss rates and limiting hard contact, building a sizable lead in advanced metrics like fWAR. Trader consensus at 94% reflects this statistical separation with two weeks remaining. Late-season injury, workload management by the Brewers, or a surge from contenders like Chris Sale or Cristopher Sanchez in innings and WAR could still shift outcomes if voters prioritize different criteria.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,102,292
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jacob Misiorowski" at 94%, followed by "Cristopher Sanchez" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" is "Jacob Misiorowski" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cristopher Sanchez" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.