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Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

Nolan McLean 50%

Charlie Condon 31%

JJ Wetherholt 28%

Konnor Griffin 28%

Polymarket
NEW

Nolan McLean 50%

Charlie Condon 31%

JJ Wetherholt 28%

Konnor Griffin 28%

Polymarket
NEW

Nolan McLean

$40 Vol.

28%

Charlie Condon

$0 Vol.

31%

JJ Wetherholt

$134 Vol.

28%

Konnor Griffin

$190 Vol.

28%

Sal Stewart

$0 Vol.

28%

Carson Benge

$0 Vol.

25%

Justin Crawford

$0 Vol.

22%

Owen Caissie

$0 Vol.

18%

Rhett Lowder

$0 Vol.

18%

Jonah Tong

$0 Vol.

18%

Didier Fuentes

$0 Vol.

16%

Robby Snelling

$0 Vol.

16%

Logan Henderson

$0 Vol.

16%

Zac Veen

$0 Vol.

16%

Bryce Eldridge

$0 Vol.

13%

Ryan Waldschmidt

$0 Vol.

11%

Jett Williams

$0 Vol.

11%

Bubba Chandler

$130 Vol.

21%

Moises Ballesteros

$188 Vol.

21%

Andrew Painter

$160 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors Charlie Condon as the NL Rookie of the Year frontrunner at 30.5% implied probability, propelled by his scorching 2026 spring training surge—three home runs and a standout showing in the Rockies' first-base battle—despite a recent minor-league assignment signaling a fast-track callup. Nolan McLean trails closely at 28%, bolstered by his perch as Baseball America's top impact rookie and a prime Mets rotation opening, while Konnor Griffin's explosive spring power (three homers in limited action) and Sal Stewart's hot bat (1.065 OPS) keep them tied at 27.5%. With JJ Wetherholt and others bunched nearby, the hyper-competitive field hinges on opening-day roster spots, early playing time, and sustained performance amid injury risks and promotion timelines in a prospect-rich NL landscape.

Trader consensus slightly favors Charlie Condon as the NL Rookie of the Year frontrunner at 30.5% implied probability, propelled by his scorching 2026 spring training surge—three home runs and a standout showing in the Rockies' first-base battle—despite a recent minor-league assignment signaling a fast-track callup. Nolan McLean trails closely at 28%, bolstered by his perch as Baseball America's top impact rookie and a prime Mets rotation opening, while Konnor Griffin's explosive spring power (three homers in limited action) and Sal Stewart's hot bat (1.065 OPS) keep them tied at 27.5%. With JJ Wetherholt and others bunched nearby, the hyper-competitive field hinges on opening-day roster spots, early playing time, and sustained performance amid injury risks and promotion timelines in a prospect-rich NL landscape.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors Charlie Condon as the NL Rookie of the Year frontrunner at 30.5% implied probability, propelled by his scorching 2026 spring training surge—three home runs and a standout showing in the Rockies' first-base battle—despite a recent minor-league assignment signaling a fast-track callup. Nolan McLean trails closely at 28%, bolstered by his perch as Baseball America's top impact rookie and a prime Mets rotation opening, while Konnor Griffin's explosive spring power (three homers in limited action) and Sal Stewart's hot bat (1.065 OPS) keep them tied at 27.5%. With JJ Wetherholt and others bunched nearby, the hyper-competitive field hinges on opening-day roster spots, early playing time, and sustained performance amid injury risks and promotion timelines in a prospect-rich NL landscape.

Trader consensus slightly favors Charlie Condon as the NL Rookie of the Year frontrunner at 30.5% implied probability, propelled by his scorching 2026 spring training surge—three home runs and a standout showing in the Rockies' first-base battle—despite a recent minor-league assignment signaling a fast-track callup. Nolan McLean trails closely at 28%, bolstered by his perch as Baseball America's top impact rookie and a prime Mets rotation opening, while Konnor Griffin's explosive spring power (three homers in limited action) and Sal Stewart's hot bat (1.065 OPS) keep them tied at 27.5%. With JJ Wetherholt and others bunched nearby, the hyper-competitive field hinges on opening-day roster spots, early playing time, and sustained performance amid injury risks and promotion timelines in a prospect-rich NL landscape.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charlie Condon" at 31%, followed by "Nolan McLean" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is "Charlie Condon" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nolan McLean" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.