Recent MLB labor talks opened in mid-May 2026 with the MLBPA submitting its first economic proposal, followed days later by the league’s counteroffer that includes a hard salary cap at $245.3 million and floor at $171.2 million beginning in 2027. These positions highlight deep divisions on competitive balance and revenue sharing, echoing the framework that produced a 99-day lockout before the prior agreement. With the current CBA set to expire December 1 and both sides still in initial posturing, the timeline for resolution remains extended, consistent with trader consensus assigning the “No” outcome a 58% implied probability. Historical patterns and the early stage of bargaining further support the view that any deal is more likely to come after a work stoppage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.01
신규
신규
2026.12.01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent MLB labor talks opened in mid-May 2026 with the MLBPA submitting its first economic proposal, followed days later by the league’s counteroffer that includes a hard salary cap at $245.3 million and floor at $171.2 million beginning in 2027. These positions highlight deep divisions on competitive balance and revenue sharing, echoing the framework that produced a 99-day lockout before the prior agreement. With the current CBA set to expire December 1 and both sides still in initial posturing, the timeline for resolution remains extended, consistent with trader consensus assigning the “No” outcome a 58% implied probability. Historical patterns and the early stage of bargaining further support the view that any deal is more likely to come after a work stoppage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
거래량
$6,183종료일
2026.12.01마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent MLB labor talks opened in mid-May 2026 with the MLBPA submitting its first economic proposal, followed days later by the league’s counteroffer that includes a hard salary cap at $245.3 million and floor at $171.2 million beginning in 2027. These positions highlight deep divisions on competitive balance and revenue sharing, echoing the framework that produced a 99-day lockout before the prior agreement. With the current CBA set to expire December 1 and both sides still in initial posturing, the timeline for resolution remains extended, consistent with trader consensus assigning the “No” outcome a 58% implied probability. Historical patterns and the early stage of bargaining further support the view that any deal is more likely to come after a work stoppage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$6,183종료일
2026.12.01마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent MLB labor talks opened in mid-May 2026 with the MLBPA submitting its first economic proposal, followed days later by the league’s counteroffer that includes a hard salary cap at $245.3 million and floor at $171.2 million beginning in 2027. These positions highlight deep divisions on competitive balance and revenue sharing, echoing the framework that produced a 99-day lockout before the prior agreement. With the current CBA set to expire December 1 and both sides still in initial posturing, the timeline for resolution remains extended, consistent with trader consensus assigning the “No” outcome a 58% implied probability. Historical patterns and the early stage of bargaining further support the view that any deal is more likely to come after a work stoppage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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