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F1 Drivers' Champion

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F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 68.8%

George Russell 18%

Lewis Hamilton 3.5%

Max Verstappen 3.0%

Polymarket

$171,438,349 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 68.8%

George Russell 18%

Lewis Hamilton 3.5%

Max Verstappen 3.0%

Polymarket

$171,438,349 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,367,471 Vol.

69%

George Russell

$2,136,791 Vol.

18%

Lewis Hamilton

$4,418,406 Vol.

3%

Max Verstappen

$2,497,492 Vol.

3%

Charles Leclerc

$3,453,411 Vol.

2%

Lando Norris

$2,562,706 Vol.

2%

Oscar Piastri

$2,179,049 Vol.

1%

Fernando Alonso

$7,940,351 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$10,499,200 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$8,378,896 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$11,264,074 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$11,097,054 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$10,696,279 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$8,397,639 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$7,502,461 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$10,458,580 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$10,235,111 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$10,999,758 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$10,382,954 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$11,666,063 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$10,060,464 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$11,257,778 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli's commanding championship lead and recent streak of five consecutive victories, including a dominant Monaco Grand Prix win from pole, have solidified trader consensus around the 19-year-old Mercedes driver at 69.7% implied probability. Strong Mercedes pace, consistent qualifying edges, and points hauls have widened his advantage to roughly 66 points over the field. George Russell (14.5%) has slipped to third amid reliability failures and penalties despite early-season promise, while Lewis Hamilton (3.4%) has climbed to second with Ferrari podiums but trails significantly. Max Verstappen and other contenders sit far back with limited realistic paths given current form and gaps. These developments reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in sustained Antonelli momentum through mid-season.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$171,438,349
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli's commanding championship lead and recent streak of five consecutive victories, including a dominant Monaco Grand Prix win from pole, have solidified trader consensus around the 19-year-old Mercedes driver at 69.7% implied probability. Strong Mercedes pace, consistent qualifying edges, and points hauls have widened his advantage to roughly 66 points over the field. George Russell (14.5%) has slipped to third amid reliability failures and penalties despite early-season promise, while Lewis Hamilton (3.4%) has climbed to second with Ferrari podiums but trails significantly. Max Verstappen and other contenders sit far back with limited realistic paths given current form and gaps. These developments reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in sustained Antonelli momentum through mid-season.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$171,438,349
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 69%, followed by "George Russell" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $171.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.