Mercedes holds a dominant 76.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Championship frontrunner, reflecting their 135-90 points lead over Ferrari after five rounds, fueled by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell's consistent podiums—including a Suzuka 1-2—and superior power unit performance under 2026 regulations. The Silver Arrows have topped scoring in the last three grands prix, showcasing unmatched race pace, tire strategy, and reliability with zero DNFs, widening the gap despite Ferrari's steady contributions from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton. McLaren trails at 46 points with flashes of speed, while Red Bull languishes on 16 amid RB22 chassis balance struggles. Toto Wolff's recent push for engine freeze aims to preserve this edge through the 24-race grind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMercedes 77%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.2%
Red Bull Racing 1.9%
$13,722,651 Vol.
$13,722,651 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
77%
Ferrari
12%
McLaren
7%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Cadillac
1%
Williams
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.2%
Red Bull Racing 1.9%
$13,722,651 Vol.
$13,722,651 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
Mercedes
$547,885 Vol.
77%
Ferrari
$280,453 Vol.
12%
McLaren
$1,332,505 Vol.
7%
Red Bull Racing
$482,950 Vol.
2%
Aston Martin
$1,614,977 Vol.
1%
Audi
$1,541,767 Vol.
1%
Cadillac
$1,278,788 Vol.
1%
Williams
$1,824,214 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$1,506,056 Vol.
<1%
Haas
$1,648,156 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$1,665,731 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a dominant 76.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Championship frontrunner, reflecting their 135-90 points lead over Ferrari after five rounds, fueled by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell's consistent podiums—including a Suzuka 1-2—and superior power unit performance under 2026 regulations. The Silver Arrows have topped scoring in the last three grands prix, showcasing unmatched race pace, tire strategy, and reliability with zero DNFs, widening the gap despite Ferrari's steady contributions from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton. McLaren trails at 46 points with flashes of speed, while Red Bull languishes on 16 amid RB22 chassis balance struggles. Toto Wolff's recent push for engine freeze aims to preserve this edge through the 24-race grind.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$13,722,651End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a dominant 76.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Championship frontrunner, reflecting their 135-90 points lead over Ferrari after five rounds, fueled by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell's consistent podiums—including a Suzuka 1-2—and superior power unit performance under 2026 regulations. The Silver Arrows have topped scoring in the last three grands prix, showcasing unmatched race pace, tire strategy, and reliability with zero DNFs, widening the gap despite Ferrari's steady contributions from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton. McLaren trails at 46 points with flashes of speed, while Red Bull languishes on 16 amid RB22 chassis balance struggles. Toto Wolff's recent push for engine freeze aims to preserve this edge through the 24-race grind.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$13,722,651End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a dominant 76.5% implied probability as F1 Constructors' Championship frontrunner, reflecting their 135-90 points lead over Ferrari after five rounds, fueled by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell's consistent podiums—including a Suzuka 1-2—and superior power unit performance under 2026 regulations. The Silver Arrows have topped scoring in the last three grands prix, showcasing unmatched race pace, tire strategy, and reliability with zero DNFs, widening the gap despite Ferrari's steady contributions from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton. McLaren trails at 46 points with flashes of speed, while Red Bull languishes on 16 amid RB22 chassis balance struggles. Toto Wolff's recent push for engine freeze aims to preserve this edge through the 24-race grind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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