Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Action of the Year market at 30.5% implied probability after a breakout Mercedes campaign featuring multiple victories, strong recoveries from opening-lap chaos, and consistent front-running that has drawn public praise from Max Verstappen and Lando Norris. Verstappen sits close behind at 25.4% on the strength of his own aggressive drives, including direct wheel-to-wheel battles with the rookie champion contender. Lewis Hamilton trails at 14.4% amid his Ferrari tenure, while the broader field remains fragmented as traders weigh dramatic overtakes, on-track incidents, and late-race mechanical dramas that have defined recent grands prix. The tight spread reflects the season’s emphasis on standout individual moments rather than outright championship results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 31%
Max Verstappen 25.9%
Lewis Hamilton 14.4%
Arvid Lindblad 5.0%
$168,556 Vol.
$168,556 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
31%
Max Verstappen
26%
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Arvid Lindblad
5%
Franco Colapinto
4%
Lando Norris
3%
Alexander Albon
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
George Russell
3%
Charles Leclerc
3%
Esteban Ocon
3%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
8%
Sergio Perez
1%
Carlos Sainz
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 31%
Max Verstappen 25.9%
Lewis Hamilton 14.4%
Arvid Lindblad 5.0%
$168,556 Vol.
$168,556 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
31%
Max Verstappen
26%
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Arvid Lindblad
5%
Franco Colapinto
4%
Lando Norris
3%
Alexander Albon
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
George Russell
3%
Charles Leclerc
3%
Esteban Ocon
3%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
8%
Sergio Perez
1%
Carlos Sainz
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 F1 Action of the Year market at 30.5% implied probability after a breakout Mercedes campaign featuring multiple victories, strong recoveries from opening-lap chaos, and consistent front-running that has drawn public praise from Max Verstappen and Lando Norris. Verstappen sits close behind at 25.4% on the strength of his own aggressive drives, including direct wheel-to-wheel battles with the rookie champion contender. Lewis Hamilton trails at 14.4% amid his Ferrari tenure, while the broader field remains fragmented as traders weigh dramatic overtakes, on-track incidents, and late-race mechanical dramas that have defined recent grands prix. The tight spread reflects the season’s emphasis on standout individual moments rather than outright championship results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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