MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 75%

Munetaka Murakami 20.5%

Kazuma Okamoto 2.6%

Samuel Basallo 2.5%

$1,612,193 Vol.

Dec 19, 2026

Kevin McGonigle

$41,218 Vol.

75%

Munetaka Murakami

$57,990 Vol.

20%

Kazuma Okamoto

$229,117 Vol.

Samuel Basallo

$1,948 Vol.

Chase DeLauter

$4,301 Vol.

Travis Bazzana

$4,518 Vol.

Payton Tolle

$194,441 Vol.

Trey Yesavage

$2,722 Vol.

Carlos Lagrange

$65,031 Vol.

Max Clark

$62,191 Vol.

Dylan Beavers

$1,325 Vol.

Carson Williams

$429,496 Vol.

Carter Jensen

$93,760 Vol.

<1%

Connelly Early

$70,472 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$833 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Jones

$37,391 Vol.

<1%

Colt Emerson

$2,002 Vol.

<1%

Walker Jenkins

$62,515 Vol.

<1%

Brice Matthews

$140,003 Vol.

<1%

Leo De Vries

$110,921 Vol.

<1%

Kevin McGonigle 75%

Munetaka Murakami 20.5%

Kazuma Okamoto 2.6%

Samuel Basallo 2.5%

$1,612,193 Vol.

Dec 19, 2026

Kevin McGonigle

$41,218 Vol.

75%

Munetaka Murakami

$57,990 Vol.

20%

Kazuma Okamoto

$229,117 Vol.

Samuel Basallo

$1,948 Vol.

Chase DeLauter

$4,301 Vol.

Travis Bazzana

$4,518 Vol.

Payton Tolle

$194,441 Vol.

Trey Yesavage

$2,722 Vol.

Carlos Lagrange

$65,031 Vol.

Max Clark

$62,191 Vol.

Dylan Beavers

$1,325 Vol.

Carson Williams

$429,496 Vol.

Carter Jensen

$93,760 Vol.

<1%

Connelly Early

$70,472 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$833 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Jones

$37,391 Vol.

<1%

Colt Emerson

$2,002 Vol.

<1%

Walker Jenkins

$62,515 Vol.

<1%

Brice Matthews

$140,003 Vol.

<1%

Leo De Vries

$110,921 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

60%

Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

63%

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

81%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kevin McGonigle" at 75%, followed by "Munetaka Murakami" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is "Kevin McGonigle" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Munetaka Murakami" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.6 million traded on “MLB: AL Rookie of the Year,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 75¢ for "Kevin McGonigle" in the "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 75% chance that "Kevin McGonigle" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 75¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 25¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 18, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

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