Kevin McGonigle's commanding 87% market share reflects his sustained dominance as the Detroit Tigers' rookie infielder, where he leads all AL rookies in key metrics including on-base percentage near .393, walks exceeding strikeouts, and FanGraphs WAR above 4.5 through over 100 games. His consistent production, All-Star selection, and plate discipline have widened the gap since midseason polls, outpacing contenders like Munetaka Murakami. While the implied probability underscores broad trader consensus on his edge, realistic shifts could arise from a late-season injury, sharp decline in form, or an exceptional surge by Murakami or pitchers such as Parker Messick that narrows the advanced-stat advantage before voting closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKevin McGonigle 87%
Munetaka Murakami 9.1%
Kazuma Okamoto 1.1%
Parker Messick 1.1%
$1,627,640 Vol.
$1,627,640 Vol.
Dec 19, 2026
Kevin McGonigle
87%
Munetaka Murakami
9%
Kazuma Okamoto
1%
Parker Messick
1%
Trey Yesavage
1%
Chase DeLauter
1%
Payton Tolle
1%
Travis Bazzana
1%
Spencer Jones
1%
Samuel Basallo
<1%
Connelly Early
<1%
Carlos Lagrange
<1%
Carter Jensen
<1%
Colt Emerson
<1%
Walker Jenkins
<1%
Brice Matthews
<1%
Leo De Vries
<1%
Sam Antonacci
<1%
Carson Williams
<1%
Max Clark
<1%
George Lombard Jr.
<1%
Tatsuya Imai
<1%
Dylan Beavers
<1%
Kevin McGonigle 87%
Munetaka Murakami 9.1%
Kazuma Okamoto 1.1%
Parker Messick 1.1%
$1,627,640 Vol.
$1,627,640 Vol.
Dec 19, 2026
Kevin McGonigle
$46,440 Vol.
87%
Munetaka Murakami
$59,915 Vol.
9%
Kazuma Okamoto
$229,704 Vol.
1%
Parker Messick
$1,667 Vol.
1%
Trey Yesavage
$3,128 Vol.
1%
Chase DeLauter
$4,625 Vol.
1%
Payton Tolle
$194,819 Vol.
1%
Travis Bazzana
$4,867 Vol.
1%
Spencer Jones
$37,922 Vol.
1%
Samuel Basallo
$2,344 Vol.
<1%
Connelly Early
$70,843 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Lagrange
$65,425 Vol.
<1%
Carter Jensen
$94,109 Vol.
<1%
Colt Emerson
$2,321 Vol.
<1%
Walker Jenkins
$62,838 Vol.
<1%
Brice Matthews
$140,327 Vol.
<1%
Leo De Vries
$111,290 Vol.
<1%
Sam Antonacci
$208 Vol.
<1%
Carson Williams
$429,820 Vol.
<1%
Max Clark
$62,505 Vol.
<1%
George Lombard Jr.
$228 Vol.
<1%
Tatsuya Imai
$833 Vol.
<1%
Dylan Beavers
$1,464 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle's commanding 87% market share reflects his sustained dominance as the Detroit Tigers' rookie infielder, where he leads all AL rookies in key metrics including on-base percentage near .393, walks exceeding strikeouts, and FanGraphs WAR above 4.5 through over 100 games. His consistent production, All-Star selection, and plate discipline have widened the gap since midseason polls, outpacing contenders like Munetaka Murakami. While the implied probability underscores broad trader consensus on his edge, realistic shifts could arise from a late-season injury, sharp decline in form, or an exceptional surge by Murakami or pitchers such as Parker Messick that narrows the advanced-stat advantage before voting closes.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$1,627,640End Date
Dec 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle's commanding 87% market share reflects his sustained dominance as the Detroit Tigers' rookie infielder, where he leads all AL rookies in key metrics including on-base percentage near .393, walks exceeding strikeouts, and FanGraphs WAR above 4.5 through over 100 games. His consistent production, All-Star selection, and plate discipline have widened the gap since midseason polls, outpacing contenders like Munetaka Murakami. While the implied probability underscores broad trader consensus on his edge, realistic shifts could arise from a late-season injury, sharp decline in form, or an exceptional surge by Murakami or pitchers such as Parker Messick that narrows the advanced-stat advantage before voting closes.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,627,640End Date
Dec 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kevin McGonigle's commanding 87% market share reflects his sustained dominance as the Detroit Tigers' rookie infielder, where he leads all AL rookies in key metrics including on-base percentage near .393, walks exceeding strikeouts, and FanGraphs WAR above 4.5 through over 100 games. His consistent production, All-Star selection, and plate discipline have widened the gap since midseason polls, outpacing contenders like Munetaka Murakami. While the implied probability underscores broad trader consensus on his edge, realistic shifts could arise from a late-season injury, sharp decline in form, or an exceptional surge by Murakami or pitchers such as Parker Messick that narrows the advanced-stat advantage before voting closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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