Kevin McGonigle's elite all-around production for the Tigers, including a .287/.399/.422 slash line, 3.8 fWAR, and second-youngest All-Star nod in franchise history, has solidified trader consensus around his 74.5% implied probability for AL Rookie of the Year. His plate discipline, power profile, and defensive work at shortstop have outpaced the field through late July. Munetaka Murakami's prolonged injury absence with the White Sox has limited his momentum despite strong underlying tools, leaving him at 19.6%. Lower-priced names such as Kazuma Okamoto and Samuel Basallo remain long shots pending sustained playing time and production spikes in the final months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKevin McGonigle 75%
Munetaka Murakami 19.4%
Kazuma Okamoto 2.6%
Chase DeLauter 2.6%
$1,612,335 Vol.
$1,612,335 Vol.
Dec 19, 2026
Kevin McGonigle
75%
Munetaka Murakami
19%
Kazuma Okamoto
3%
Chase DeLauter
3%
Samuel Basallo
2%
Travis Bazzana
2%
Payton Tolle
1%
Trey Yesavage
1%
Spencer Jones
1%
Carlos Lagrange
1%
Max Clark
1%
Dylan Beavers
1%
Carson Williams
1%
Carter Jensen
<1%
Connelly Early
<1%
Tatsuya Imai
<1%
Colt Emerson
<1%
Walker Jenkins
<1%
Brice Matthews
<1%
Leo De Vries
<1%
Kevin McGonigle 75%
Munetaka Murakami 19.4%
Kazuma Okamoto 2.6%
Chase DeLauter 2.6%
$1,612,335 Vol.
$1,612,335 Vol.
Dec 19, 2026
Kevin McGonigle
$41,218 Vol.
75%
Munetaka Murakami
$57,990 Vol.
19%
Kazuma Okamoto
$229,117 Vol.
3%
Chase DeLauter
$4,301 Vol.
3%
Samuel Basallo
$1,948 Vol.
2%
Travis Bazzana
$4,518 Vol.
2%
Payton Tolle
$194,441 Vol.
1%
Trey Yesavage
$2,722 Vol.
1%
Spencer Jones
$37,533 Vol.
1%
Carlos Lagrange
$65,031 Vol.
1%
Max Clark
$62,191 Vol.
1%
Dylan Beavers
$1,325 Vol.
1%
Carson Williams
$429,496 Vol.
1%
Carter Jensen
$93,760 Vol.
<1%
Connelly Early
$70,472 Vol.
<1%
Tatsuya Imai
$833 Vol.
<1%
Colt Emerson
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
Walker Jenkins
$62,515 Vol.
<1%
Brice Matthews
$140,003 Vol.
<1%
Leo De Vries
$110,921 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle's elite all-around production for the Tigers, including a .287/.399/.422 slash line, 3.8 fWAR, and second-youngest All-Star nod in franchise history, has solidified trader consensus around his 74.5% implied probability for AL Rookie of the Year. His plate discipline, power profile, and defensive work at shortstop have outpaced the field through late July. Munetaka Murakami's prolonged injury absence with the White Sox has limited his momentum despite strong underlying tools, leaving him at 19.6%. Lower-priced names such as Kazuma Okamoto and Samuel Basallo remain long shots pending sustained playing time and production spikes in the final months.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$1,612,335End Date
Dec 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle's elite all-around production for the Tigers, including a .287/.399/.422 slash line, 3.8 fWAR, and second-youngest All-Star nod in franchise history, has solidified trader consensus around his 74.5% implied probability for AL Rookie of the Year. His plate discipline, power profile, and defensive work at shortstop have outpaced the field through late July. Munetaka Murakami's prolonged injury absence with the White Sox has limited his momentum despite strong underlying tools, leaving him at 19.6%. Lower-priced names such as Kazuma Okamoto and Samuel Basallo remain long shots pending sustained playing time and production spikes in the final months.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,612,335End Date
Dec 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kevin McGonigle's elite all-around production for the Tigers, including a .287/.399/.422 slash line, 3.8 fWAR, and second-youngest All-Star nod in franchise history, has solidified trader consensus around his 74.5% implied probability for AL Rookie of the Year. His plate discipline, power profile, and defensive work at shortstop have outpaced the field through late July. Munetaka Murakami's prolonged injury absence with the White Sox has limited his momentum despite strong underlying tools, leaving him at 19.6%. Lower-priced names such as Kazuma Okamoto and Samuel Basallo remain long shots pending sustained playing time and production spikes in the final months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions