Will Venable leads the AL Manager of the Year market at 70% implied probability because the White Sox have surged from a 102-loss season to first place in the AL Central at 75-72 despite a young roster without established stars. Traders credit his handling of lineup construction, pitching staff development, and in-season adjustments for the turnaround. Kevin Cash sits second at 18% after guiding the Rays to the AL's best record at 88-59 and a playoff berth, though repeat success and a stronger supporting cast temper his momentum relative to Venable's narrative. Lower-priced candidates such as Stephen Vogt and others trail due to middling team results and less pronounced roster transformations heading into the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Venable 75.2%
Kevin Cash 18.1%
Stephen Vogt 2.1%
Derek Shelton 1.3%
$60,789 Vol.
$60,789 Vol.
Dec 18, 2026
Will Venable
70%
Kevin Cash
18%
Stephen Vogt
2%
Derek Shelton
1%
Skip Schumaker
1%
Craig Albernaz
1%
Dan Wilson
1%
Alex Cora
1%
John Schneider
1%
Aaron Boone
1%
Joe Espada
1%
A.J. Hinch
1%
Kurt Suzuki
1%
Mark Kotsay
<1%
Matt Quatraro
<1%
Will Venable 75.2%
Kevin Cash 18.1%
Stephen Vogt 2.1%
Derek Shelton 1.3%
$60,789 Vol.
$60,789 Vol.
Dec 18, 2026
Will Venable
$5,682 Vol.
70%
Kevin Cash
$20,058 Vol.
18%
Stephen Vogt
$1,712 Vol.
2%
Derek Shelton
$2,318 Vol.
1%
Skip Schumaker
$934 Vol.
1%
Craig Albernaz
$3,320 Vol.
1%
Dan Wilson
$6,382 Vol.
1%
Alex Cora
$14,730 Vol.
1%
John Schneider
$642 Vol.
1%
Aaron Boone
$558 Vol.
1%
Joe Espada
$467 Vol.
1%
A.J. Hinch
$918 Vol.
1%
Kurt Suzuki
$440 Vol.
1%
Mark Kotsay
$2,368 Vol.
<1%
Matt Quatraro
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Will Venable leads the AL Manager of the Year market at 70% implied probability because the White Sox have surged from a 102-loss season to first place in the AL Central at 75-72 despite a young roster without established stars. Traders credit his handling of lineup construction, pitching staff development, and in-season adjustments for the turnaround. Kevin Cash sits second at 18% after guiding the Rays to the AL's best record at 88-59 and a playoff berth, though repeat success and a stronger supporting cast temper his momentum relative to Venable's narrative. Lower-priced candidates such as Stephen Vogt and others trail due to middling team results and less pronounced roster transformations heading into the final weeks.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$60,789End Date
Dec 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Will Venable leads the AL Manager of the Year market at 70% implied probability because the White Sox have surged from a 102-loss season to first place in the AL Central at 75-72 despite a young roster without established stars. Traders credit his handling of lineup construction, pitching staff development, and in-season adjustments for the turnaround. Kevin Cash sits second at 18% after guiding the Rays to the AL's best record at 88-59 and a playoff berth, though repeat success and a stronger supporting cast temper his momentum relative to Venable's narrative. Lower-priced candidates such as Stephen Vogt and others trail due to middling team results and less pronounced roster transformations heading into the final weeks.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,789End Date
Dec 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Will Venable leads the AL Manager of the Year market at 70% implied probability because the White Sox have surged from a 102-loss season to first place in the AL Central at 75-72 despite a young roster without established stars. Traders credit his handling of lineup construction, pitching staff development, and in-season adjustments for the turnaround. Kevin Cash sits second at 18% after guiding the Rays to the AL's best record at 88-59 and a playoff berth, though repeat success and a stronger supporting cast temper his momentum relative to Venable's narrative. Lower-priced candidates such as Stephen Vogt and others trail due to middling team results and less pronounced roster transformations heading into the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions