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icon for MLB: AL Manager of the Year
Sports·Baseball

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Manager of the Year
Sports·Baseball

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

Will Venable 68.7%

Kevin Cash 23.5%

Stephen Vogt 2.1%

Derek Shelton 1.3%

Polymarket

$61,297 Vol.

Will Venable 68.7%

Kevin Cash 23.5%

Stephen Vogt 2.1%

Derek Shelton 1.3%

Polymarket

$61,297 Vol.

Will Venable

$5,682 Vol.

69%

Kevin Cash

$20,566 Vol.

24%

Stephen Vogt

$1,712 Vol.

2%

Derek Shelton

$2,318 Vol.

1%

Skip Schumaker

$934 Vol.

1%

Craig Albernaz

$3,320 Vol.

1%

Dan Wilson

$6,382 Vol.

1%

Alex Cora

$14,730 Vol.

1%

John Schneider

$642 Vol.

1%

Aaron Boone

$558 Vol.

1%

Joe Espada

$467 Vol.

1%

A.J. Hinch

$918 Vol.

1%

Kurt Suzuki

$440 Vol.

1%

Mark Kotsay

$2,368 Vol.

<1%

Matt Quatraro

$258 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Will Venable holds the strongest position in the AL Manager of the Year market after guiding the Chicago White Sox from a 102-loss season in 2025 to a first-place standing in the AL Central during 2026, with a 75-72 record entering mid-September. Traders have priced this turnaround narrative heavily into his 68.2% implied probability. Kevin Cash follows at 23.5% on the strength of the Tampa Bay Rays’ league-best record and recent playoff clinch, though his candidacy reflects sustained excellence rather than dramatic improvement. Lower-priced names such as Stephen Vogt, Derek Shelton, and Skip Schumaker trail due to more modest divisional results or roster transitions, with recent late-season developments in Chicago reinforcing Venable’s lead in the current trader consensus.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$61,297
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Will Venable holds the strongest position in the AL Manager of the Year market after guiding the Chicago White Sox from a 102-loss season in 2025 to a first-place standing in the AL Central during 2026, with a 75-72 record entering mid-September. Traders have priced this turnaround narrative heavily into his 68.2% implied probability. Kevin Cash follows at 23.5% on the strength of the Tampa Bay Rays’ league-best record and recent playoff clinch, though his candidacy reflects sustained excellence rather than dramatic improvement. Lower-priced names such as Stephen Vogt, Derek Shelton, and Skip Schumaker trail due to more modest divisional results or roster transitions, with recent late-season developments in Chicago reinforcing Venable’s lead in the current trader consensus.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$61,297
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Will Venable" at 69%, followed by "Kevin Cash" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" has generated $61.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" is "Will Venable" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Cash" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.