Skip to main content
icon for MLB: AL Manager of the Year
Sports·Baseball

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Manager of the Year
Sports·Baseball

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

Will Venable 47.3%

Kevin Cash 27%

Mark Kotsay 11%

Derek Shelton 9%

Polymarket

$41,411 Vol.

Will Venable 47.3%

Kevin Cash 27%

Mark Kotsay 11%

Derek Shelton 9%

Polymarket

$41,411 Vol.

Will Venable

$1,361 Vol.

44%

Kevin Cash

$12,754 Vol.

27%

Mark Kotsay

$1,138 Vol.

11%

Derek Shelton

$494 Vol.

9%

Stephen Vogt

$795 Vol.

4%

Aaron Boone

$451 Vol.

4%

John Schneider

$209 Vol.

3%

Skip Schumaker

$276 Vol.

3%

Craig Albernaz

$3,019 Vol.

3%

Dan Wilson

$5,930 Vol.

1%

Alex Cora

$14,461 Vol.

1%

A.J. Hinch

$168 Vol.

1%

Joe Espada

$145 Vol.

1%

Kurt Suzuki

$115 Vol.

1%

Matt Quatraro

$95 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Will Venable leads the AL Manager of the Year market on the strength of the White Sox’s surprising early-season record and improved competitiveness in a rebuilding year, while Kevin Cash remains close behind thanks to the Rays’ strong start and his track record of maximizing low-payroll rosters. Mark Kotsay and Derek Shelton sit further back amid more modest team results for the Athletics and Twins. The tight spread between the top two reflects comparable narratives of outperformance relative to preseason expectations, with ongoing divisional play and roster health likely to determine which skipper pulls ahead as the season progresses.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41,411
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Will Venable leads the AL Manager of the Year market on the strength of the White Sox’s surprising early-season record and improved competitiveness in a rebuilding year, while Kevin Cash remains close behind thanks to the Rays’ strong start and his track record of maximizing low-payroll rosters. Mark Kotsay and Derek Shelton sit further back amid more modest team results for the Athletics and Twins. The tight spread between the top two reflects comparable narratives of outperformance relative to preseason expectations, with ongoing divisional play and roster health likely to determine which skipper pulls ahead as the season progresses.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41,411
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?

Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?

25%
icon for Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

57%
icon for Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?

59%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Will Venable" at 44%, followed by "Kevin Cash" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" has generated $41.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" is "Will Venable" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Cash" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.