The Tampa Bay Rays hold the AL East lead at 76-51, four and a half games ahead of the Yankees, driven by consistent winning in May and August, an eighth-ranked team ERA, and standout contributions from hitters like Yandy Díaz alongside a dominant bullpen featuring a closer with over 25 saves. This positioning underpins the Rays’ 58.8% implied probability in the division-title market. The Yankees sit at 71-55 with a strong run differential and recent form but trail in the standings, supporting their 22.5% consensus share as the primary challenger. Boston, Toronto, and Baltimore remain eight or more games back with weaker overall records, leaving them at 3% or lower. With roughly 35 games remaining, late-season roster health and head-to-head results will continue shaping trader views of these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTampa Bay Rays 66.6%
New York Yankees 22%
Boston Red Sox 2.9%
Baltimore Orioles <1%
$239,202 Vol.
$239,202 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays
67%
New York Yankees
22%
Boston Red Sox
3%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
Toronto Blue Jays
<1%
Tampa Bay Rays 66.6%
New York Yankees 22%
Boston Red Sox 2.9%
Baltimore Orioles <1%
$239,202 Vol.
$239,202 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays
$59,646 Vol.
67%
New York Yankees
$85,398 Vol.
22%
Boston Red Sox
$17,341 Vol.
3%
Baltimore Orioles
$58,995 Vol.
<1%
Toronto Blue Jays
$17,822 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays hold the AL East lead at 76-51, four and a half games ahead of the Yankees, driven by consistent winning in May and August, an eighth-ranked team ERA, and standout contributions from hitters like Yandy Díaz alongside a dominant bullpen featuring a closer with over 25 saves. This positioning underpins the Rays’ 58.8% implied probability in the division-title market. The Yankees sit at 71-55 with a strong run differential and recent form but trail in the standings, supporting their 22.5% consensus share as the primary challenger. Boston, Toronto, and Baltimore remain eight or more games back with weaker overall records, leaving them at 3% or lower. With roughly 35 games remaining, late-season roster health and head-to-head results will continue shaping trader views of these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$239,202End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays hold the AL East lead at 76-51, four and a half games ahead of the Yankees, driven by consistent winning in May and August, an eighth-ranked team ERA, and standout contributions from hitters like Yandy Díaz alongside a dominant bullpen featuring a closer with over 25 saves. This positioning underpins the Rays’ 58.8% implied probability in the division-title market. The Yankees sit at 71-55 with a strong run differential and recent form but trail in the standings, supporting their 22.5% consensus share as the primary challenger. Boston, Toronto, and Baltimore remain eight or more games back with weaker overall records, leaving them at 3% or lower. With roughly 35 games remaining, late-season roster health and head-to-head results will continue shaping trader views of these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$239,202End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tampa Bay Rays hold the AL East lead at 76-51, four and a half games ahead of the Yankees, driven by consistent winning in May and August, an eighth-ranked team ERA, and standout contributions from hitters like Yandy Díaz alongside a dominant bullpen featuring a closer with over 25 saves. This positioning underpins the Rays’ 58.8% implied probability in the division-title market. The Yankees sit at 71-55 with a strong run differential and recent form but trail in the standings, supporting their 22.5% consensus share as the primary challenger. Boston, Toronto, and Baltimore remain eight or more games back with weaker overall records, leaving them at 3% or lower. With roughly 35 games remaining, late-season roster health and head-to-head results will continue shaping trader views of these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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