Tampa Bay Rays' division lead and strong recent form anchor their position just behind the New York Yankees in AL Champion pricing, as both clubs sit atop the East with the Rays at roughly 76-50 and the Yankees five-plus games back at 71-55. The Yankees' superior run differential and offensive depth keep them narrowly favored in trader consensus, while the Boston Red Sox remain within striking distance at 68-59. Competitive balance across the AL Central, led by the Chicago White Sox, and ongoing schedule demands further compress probabilities, reflecting a wide-open pennant race with multiple clubs posting winning records and no dominant frontrunner emerging mid-August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: 2026 American League Champion
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
New York Yankees 25%
Tampa Bay Rays 21.6%
Boston Red Sox 10.9%
Houston Astros 9.7%
$4,232,784 Vol.
$4,232,784 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
New York Yankees
25%
Tampa Bay Rays
22%
Boston Red Sox
11%
Houston Astros
10%
Chicago White Sox
9%
Seattle Mariners
4%
Toronto Blue Jays
3%
Detroit Tigers
3%
Cleveland Guardians
3%
Texas Rangers
3%
Minnesota Twins
1%
Baltimore Orioles
1%
Los Angeles Angels
<1%
Athletics
<1%
Kansas City Royals
<1%
New York Yankees 25%
Tampa Bay Rays 21.6%
Boston Red Sox 10.9%
Houston Astros 9.7%
$4,232,784 Vol.
$4,232,784 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
New York Yankees
$56,635 Vol.
25%
Tampa Bay Rays
$395,116 Vol.
22%
Boston Red Sox
$55,069 Vol.
11%
Houston Astros
$781,113 Vol.
10%
Chicago White Sox
$252,280 Vol.
9%
Seattle Mariners
$32,228 Vol.
4%
Toronto Blue Jays
$151,618 Vol.
3%
Detroit Tigers
$115,960 Vol.
3%
Cleveland Guardians
$733,822 Vol.
3%
Texas Rangers
$26,934 Vol.
3%
Minnesota Twins
$253,071 Vol.
1%
Baltimore Orioles
$67,264 Vol.
1%
Los Angeles Angels
$308,484 Vol.
<1%
Athletics
$155,029 Vol.
<1%
Kansas City Royals
$848,162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tampa Bay Rays' division lead and strong recent form anchor their position just behind the New York Yankees in AL Champion pricing, as both clubs sit atop the East with the Rays at roughly 76-50 and the Yankees five-plus games back at 71-55. The Yankees' superior run differential and offensive depth keep them narrowly favored in trader consensus, while the Boston Red Sox remain within striking distance at 68-59. Competitive balance across the AL Central, led by the Chicago White Sox, and ongoing schedule demands further compress probabilities, reflecting a wide-open pennant race with multiple clubs posting winning records and no dominant frontrunner emerging mid-August.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Volume
$4,232,784End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tampa Bay Rays' division lead and strong recent form anchor their position just behind the New York Yankees in AL Champion pricing, as both clubs sit atop the East with the Rays at roughly 76-50 and the Yankees five-plus games back at 71-55. The Yankees' superior run differential and offensive depth keep them narrowly favored in trader consensus, while the Boston Red Sox remain within striking distance at 68-59. Competitive balance across the AL Central, led by the Chicago White Sox, and ongoing schedule demands further compress probabilities, reflecting a wide-open pennant race with multiple clubs posting winning records and no dominant frontrunner emerging mid-August.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,232,784End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tampa Bay Rays' division lead and strong recent form anchor their position just behind the New York Yankees in AL Champion pricing, as both clubs sit atop the East with the Rays at roughly 76-50 and the Yankees five-plus games back at 71-55. The Yankees' superior run differential and offensive depth keep them narrowly favored in trader consensus, while the Boston Red Sox remain within striking distance at 68-59. Competitive balance across the AL Central, led by the Chicago White Sox, and ongoing schedule demands further compress probabilities, reflecting a wide-open pennant race with multiple clubs posting winning records and no dominant frontrunner emerging mid-August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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