Zack Wheeler’s return from thoracic outlet decompression surgery in September 2025 anchors the 74% market share, as the Phillies right-hander has posted a 12-5 record with a 3.23 ERA over 136.1 innings and 163 strikeouts in 24 starts through early September 2026, including multiple dominant outings with velocity and command restored after a delayed April debut. Traders view this as the clearest NL comeback narrative, supported by his recent six-inning, nine-strikeout effort against Atlanta. Sandy Alcantara sits at 12% on the strength of 195.2 innings pitched and a 3.54 ERA after a 5.36 ERA in 2025, reflecting durability gains but trailing in overall impact. Michael Harris II, Brandon Woodruff, and O’Neil Cruz occupy single-digit shares tied to respective rebounds from prior injury or performance dips, though none match Wheeler’s combination of volume, efficiency, and team context heading into the final month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZack Wheeler 74%
Sandy Alcantara 14%
Michael Harris II 4.3%
O'Neil Cruz 3.7%
$150,586 Vol.
$150,586 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
74%
Sandy Alcantara
14%
Michael Harris II
4%
O'Neil Cruz
4%
Brandon Woodruff
4%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Tanner Scott
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
Zack Wheeler 74%
Sandy Alcantara 14%
Michael Harris II 4.3%
O'Neil Cruz 3.7%
$150,586 Vol.
$150,586 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
74%
Sandy Alcantara
14%
Michael Harris II
4%
O'Neil Cruz
4%
Brandon Woodruff
4%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Tanner Scott
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zack Wheeler’s return from thoracic outlet decompression surgery in September 2025 anchors the 74% market share, as the Phillies right-hander has posted a 12-5 record with a 3.23 ERA over 136.1 innings and 163 strikeouts in 24 starts through early September 2026, including multiple dominant outings with velocity and command restored after a delayed April debut. Traders view this as the clearest NL comeback narrative, supported by his recent six-inning, nine-strikeout effort against Atlanta. Sandy Alcantara sits at 12% on the strength of 195.2 innings pitched and a 3.54 ERA after a 5.36 ERA in 2025, reflecting durability gains but trailing in overall impact. Michael Harris II, Brandon Woodruff, and O’Neil Cruz occupy single-digit shares tied to respective rebounds from prior injury or performance dips, though none match Wheeler’s combination of volume, efficiency, and team context heading into the final month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions