Market icon
Sports·MLB

MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year

Market icon
Sports·MLB

MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year

O'Neil Cruz 52%

Shota Imanaga 34%

Michael Harris II 31%

Tanner Scott 30%

Polymarket
NEW

$12,659 Vol.

O'Neil Cruz 52%

Shota Imanaga 34%

Michael Harris II 31%

Tanner Scott 30%

Polymarket
NEW

$12,659 Vol.

O'Neil Cruz

$12,659 Vol.

52%

Shota Imanaga

$0 Vol.

34%

Michael Harris II

$0 Vol.

31%

Tanner Scott

$0 Vol.

30%

Sean Manaea

$0 Vol.

30%

Sandy Alcantara

$0 Vol.

30%

Brandon Woodruff

$0 Vol.

29%

Ezequiel Tovar

$0 Vol.

29%

Porter Hodge

$0 Vol.

27%

Zack Wheeler

$0 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Pittsburgh Pirates shortstop O'Neil Cruz as the frontrunner for NL Comeback Player of the Year at 52% implied probability, reflecting his potential to rebound from an injury-plagued 2025 hampered by concussion protocol in August, ankle discomfort in September, and back tightness, which stifled his raw power-speed profile despite harder contact. Close behind, Chicago Cubs lefty Shota Imanaga (34%) eyes resurgence after a May hamstring strain sapped his velocity and command following a stellar first half; Miami Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara (31%) builds on a strong second-half 3.34 ERA post-Tommy John; and Dodgers reliever Tanner Scott (31%) targets revival from a 4.74 ERA and elbow inflammation. Recent spring developments, including Cruz's physique overhaul, World Baseball Classic impact, and Zack Wheeler's thoracic outlet syndrome recovery milestone with a March minor-league rehab start, underscore the crowded field of high-upside resurgences ahead of Opening Day.

Trader consensus prices Pittsburgh Pirates shortstop O'Neil Cruz as the frontrunner for NL Comeback Player of the Year at 52% implied probability, reflecting his potential to rebound from an injury-plagued 2025 hampered by concussion protocol in August, ankle discomfort in September, and back tightness, which stifled his raw power-speed profile despite harder contact. Close behind, Chicago Cubs lefty Shota Imanaga (34%) eyes resurgence after a May hamstring strain sapped his velocity and command following a stellar first half; Miami Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara (31%) builds on a strong second-half 3.34 ERA post-Tommy John; and Dodgers reliever Tanner Scott (31%) targets revival from a 4.74 ERA and elbow inflammation. Recent spring developments, including Cruz's physique overhaul, World Baseball Classic impact, and Zack Wheeler's thoracic outlet syndrome recovery milestone with a March minor-league rehab start, underscore the crowded field of high-upside resurgences ahead of Opening Day.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Pittsburgh Pirates shortstop O'Neil Cruz as the frontrunner for NL Comeback Player of the Year at 52% implied probability, reflecting his potential to rebound from an injury-plagued 2025 hampered by concussion protocol in August, ankle discomfort in September, and back tightness, which stifled his raw power-speed profile despite harder contact. Close behind, Chicago Cubs lefty Shota Imanaga (34%) eyes resurgence after a May hamstring strain sapped his velocity and command following a stellar first half; Miami Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara (31%) builds on a strong second-half 3.34 ERA post-Tommy John; and Dodgers reliever Tanner Scott (31%) targets revival from a 4.74 ERA and elbow inflammation. Recent spring developments, including Cruz's physique overhaul, World Baseball Classic impact, and Zack Wheeler's thoracic outlet syndrome recovery milestone with a March minor-league rehab start, underscore the crowded field of high-upside resurgences ahead of Opening Day.

Trader consensus prices Pittsburgh Pirates shortstop O'Neil Cruz as the frontrunner for NL Comeback Player of the Year at 52% implied probability, reflecting his potential to rebound from an injury-plagued 2025 hampered by concussion protocol in August, ankle discomfort in September, and back tightness, which stifled his raw power-speed profile despite harder contact. Close behind, Chicago Cubs lefty Shota Imanaga (34%) eyes resurgence after a May hamstring strain sapped his velocity and command following a stellar first half; Miami Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara (31%) builds on a strong second-half 3.34 ERA post-Tommy John; and Dodgers reliever Tanner Scott (31%) targets revival from a 4.74 ERA and elbow inflammation. Recent spring developments, including Cruz's physique overhaul, World Baseball Classic impact, and Zack Wheeler's thoracic outlet syndrome recovery milestone with a March minor-league rehab start, underscore the crowded field of high-upside resurgences ahead of Opening Day.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?

41%
Market icon

Will Charlie Condon win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

30%
Market icon

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

46%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "O'Neil Cruz" at 52%, followed by "Shota Imanaga" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year" is "O'Neil Cruz" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shota Imanaga" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.