Early festival screenings and major studio releases are shaping the initial 2027 Best Actor nomination race, with Matt Damon’s turn in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” and Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger” generating strong early momentum through star power and awards-friendly directors. John Malkovich’s performance in Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine” has drawn critical praise as a potential overdue contender, while Ryan Gosling in “Project Hail Mary” and Sebastian Stan in “Fjord” round out the leading names based on tracking and industry chatter. With nominations voting set for mid-January 2027 after eligibility closes December 31, traders should watch fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF for review-driven shifts, followed by guild and critics’ circle results that historically signal academy support. The category remains fluid given limited screenings so far.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
$28,020 Vol.
Jan 20, 2027
Matt Damon
94%
John Malkovich
85%
Andrew Scott
72%
Tom Cruise
63%
Ryan Gosling
49%
Robert Pattinson
49%
Timothée Chalamet
33%
Sebastian Stan
30%
John Turturro
25%
Pedro Pascal
21%
Jaafar Jackson
18%
Adam Driver
12%
Javier Bardem
11%
Jeremy Strong
11%
Robert Aramayo
7%
Sam Rockwell
7%
Josh O'Connor
6%
Brad Pitt
6%
$28,020 Vol.
Matt Damon
$2,245 Vol.
94%
John Malkovich
$262 Vol.
85%
Andrew Scott
$5,240 Vol.
72%
Tom Cruise
$4,047 Vol.
63%
Ryan Gosling
$3,738 Vol.
49%
Robert Pattinson
$120 Vol.
49%
Timothée Chalamet
$2,542 Vol.
33%
Sebastian Stan
$1,018 Vol.
30%
John Turturro
$374 Vol.
25%
Pedro Pascal
$784 Vol.
21%
Jaafar Jackson
$522 Vol.
18%
Adam Driver
$55 Vol.
12%
Javier Bardem
$399 Vol.
11%
Jeremy Strong
$3,272 Vol.
11%
Robert Aramayo
$432 Vol.
7%
Sam Rockwell
$960 Vol.
7%
Josh O'Connor
$225 Vol.
6%
Brad Pitt
$1,783 Vol.
6%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early festival screenings and major studio releases are shaping the initial 2027 Best Actor nomination race, with Matt Damon’s turn in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” and Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger” generating strong early momentum through star power and awards-friendly directors. John Malkovich’s performance in Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine” has drawn critical praise as a potential overdue contender, while Ryan Gosling in “Project Hail Mary” and Sebastian Stan in “Fjord” round out the leading names based on tracking and industry chatter. With nominations voting set for mid-January 2027 after eligibility closes December 31, traders should watch fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF for review-driven shifts, followed by guild and critics’ circle results that historically signal academy support. The category remains fluid given limited screenings so far.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$28,020End Date
Jan 21, 2027Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early festival screenings and major studio releases are shaping the initial 2027 Best Actor nomination race, with Matt Damon’s turn in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” and Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger” generating strong early momentum through star power and awards-friendly directors. John Malkovich’s performance in Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine” has drawn critical praise as a potential overdue contender, while Ryan Gosling in “Project Hail Mary” and Sebastian Stan in “Fjord” round out the leading names based on tracking and industry chatter. With nominations voting set for mid-January 2027 after eligibility closes December 31, traders should watch fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF for review-driven shifts, followed by guild and critics’ circle results that historically signal academy support. The category remains fluid given limited screenings so far.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,020End Date
Jan 21, 2027Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Early festival screenings and major studio releases are shaping the initial 2027 Best Actor nomination race, with Matt Damon’s turn in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” and Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger” generating strong early momentum through star power and awards-friendly directors. John Malkovich’s performance in Martin McDonagh’s “Wild Horse Nine” has drawn critical praise as a potential overdue contender, while Ryan Gosling in “Project Hail Mary” and Sebastian Stan in “Fjord” round out the leading names based on tracking and industry chatter. With nominations voting set for mid-January 2027 after eligibility closes December 31, traders should watch fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF for review-driven shifts, followed by guild and critics’ circle results that historically signal academy support. The category remains fluid given limited screenings so far.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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