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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 25.6%

Jack Lowden 24.1%

Callum Turner 16%

James Norton 8.1%

Polymarket

$160,034 Vol.

No Bond chosen 25.6%

Jack Lowden 24.1%

Callum Turner 16%

James Norton 8.1%

Polymarket

$160,034 Vol.

No Bond chosen

$50,849 Vol.

26%

Jack Lowden

$39,610 Vol.

24%

Callum Turner

$32,887 Vol.

16%

James Norton

$1,572 Vol.

8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$5,641 Vol.

8%

Jacob Elordi

$4,198 Vol.

7%

Theo James

$6,008 Vol.

5%

Robert James-Collier

$1,163 Vol.

2%

Michael B Jordan

$1,178 Vol.

2%

Henry Cavill

$1,967 Vol.

2%

Harris Dickinson

$1,804 Vol.

2%

Tom Holland

$1,819 Vol.

1%

Josh O'Connor

$2,818 Vol.

1%

Tom Hardy

$3,579 Vol.

1%

Pierce Brosnan

$2,443 Vol.

1%

Paul Mescal

$1,417 Vol.

1%

Timothee Chalamet

$1,081 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Casting for the next James Bond remains in active early stages under director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold, with multiple rounds of auditions underway and no formal announcement expected until late 2026. This timeline sustains the leading "no choice yet" outcome while elevating Jack Lowden, whose recent surge reflects fresh rumors of meetings and his strong fit as a Scottish actor with prestige credentials. Callum Turner holds steady support from earlier endorsements and industry buzz, yet the broad field of 30-something British contenders—including Jacob Elordi, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, and Harris Dickinson—creates fragmented sentiment. Traders weigh historical preference for UK talent, physical suitability for multi-film commitments, and the absence of decisive guild or precursor signals in this secretive process.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$160,034
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Casting for the next James Bond remains in active early stages under director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold, with multiple rounds of auditions underway and no formal announcement expected until late 2026. This timeline sustains the leading "no choice yet" outcome while elevating Jack Lowden, whose recent surge reflects fresh rumors of meetings and his strong fit as a Scottish actor with prestige credentials. Callum Turner holds steady support from earlier endorsements and industry buzz, yet the broad field of 30-something British contenders—including Jacob Elordi, Aaron Taylor-Johnson, and Harris Dickinson—creates fragmented sentiment. Traders weigh historical preference for UK talent, physical suitability for multi-film commitments, and the absence of decisive guild or precursor signals in this secretive process.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$160,034
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 26%, followed by "Jack Lowden" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $160K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "No Bond chosen" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jack Lowden" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.