Strong word-of-mouth and unusually resilient weekday holds have kept “The Odyssey” on a steadier trajectory than most tentpoles, with the film posting a modest 26% drop in its fifth weekend to $23.6 million after earlier declines of 38-43%. Christopher Nolan’s track record, an A CinemaScore, and premium-format appeal continue to support above-average legs for an R-rated epic, yet theater count has fallen to roughly 3,200 screens and typical late-summer audience fatigue is setting in. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (51.5%) to a sixth-weekend gross below $17 million, with the next three brackets clustered around 38-39% as the film heads into its Aug. 21-23 frame amid growing competition and a natural steepening of drops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office
<17m 51%
17-18.5m 39%
18.5-20m 39%
20-21.5m 38%
<17m
51%
17-18.5m
39%
18.5-20m
39%
20-21.5m
38%
21.5m+
13%
<17m 51%
17-18.5m 39%
18.5-20m 39%
20-21.5m 38%
<17m
51%
17-18.5m
39%
18.5-20m
39%
20-21.5m
38%
21.5m+
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong word-of-mouth and unusually resilient weekday holds have kept “The Odyssey” on a steadier trajectory than most tentpoles, with the film posting a modest 26% drop in its fifth weekend to $23.6 million after earlier declines of 38-43%. Christopher Nolan’s track record, an A CinemaScore, and premium-format appeal continue to support above-average legs for an R-rated epic, yet theater count has fallen to roughly 3,200 screens and typical late-summer audience fatigue is setting in. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (51.5%) to a sixth-weekend gross below $17 million, with the next three brackets clustered around 38-39% as the film heads into its Aug. 21-23 frame amid growing competition and a natural steepening of drops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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