**A24’s “Onslaught,” Adam Wingard’s R-rated military slasher starring Adria Arjona as a sniper defending her daughter from rogue super soldiers, opens September 4 on Labor Day weekend with modest trader expectations centered on a $3–4 million debut.** Early tracking and presales for the original, non-franchise title align with A24’s typical wide-release patterns for mid-budget genre fare, where critical buzz and cast appeal rarely translate into blockbuster numbers absent major IP or summer positioning. Recent red-carpet premiere coverage and mixed-positive reviews (praising visceral action and Wingard’s midnight-movie energy while noting narrative looseness) have reinforced a consensus around limited theatrical momentum rather than breakout potential. The timing—post-summer lull with no major counterprogramming—further caps upside, keeping higher brackets like 5m+ at lower implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
3-4m 42%
<2m 24%
2-3m 23%
4-5m 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<2m
24%
2-3m
23%
3-4m
42%
4-5m
21%
5-6m
21%
6m+
19%
3-4m 42%
<2m 24%
2-3m 23%
4-5m 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
<2m
$0 Vol.
24%
2-3m
$120 Vol.
23%
3-4m
$0 Vol.
42%
4-5m
$0 Vol.
21%
5-6m
$0 Vol.
21%
6m+
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**A24’s “Onslaught,” Adam Wingard’s R-rated military slasher starring Adria Arjona as a sniper defending her daughter from rogue super soldiers, opens September 4 on Labor Day weekend with modest trader expectations centered on a $3–4 million debut.**
Early tracking and presales for the original, non-franchise title align with A24’s typical wide-release patterns for mid-budget genre fare, where critical buzz and cast appeal rarely translate into blockbuster numbers absent major IP or summer positioning. Recent red-carpet premiere coverage and mixed-positive reviews (praising visceral action and Wingard’s midnight-movie energy while noting narrative looseness) have reinforced a consensus around limited theatrical momentum rather than breakout potential. The timing—post-summer lull with no major counterprogramming—further caps upside, keeping higher brackets like 5m+ at lower implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$120End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**A24’s “Onslaught,” Adam Wingard’s R-rated military slasher starring Adria Arjona as a sniper defending her daughter from rogue super soldiers, opens September 4 on Labor Day weekend with modest trader expectations centered on a $3–4 million debut.**
Early tracking and presales for the original, non-franchise title align with A24’s typical wide-release patterns for mid-budget genre fare, where critical buzz and cast appeal rarely translate into blockbuster numbers absent major IP or summer positioning. Recent red-carpet premiere coverage and mixed-positive reviews (praising visceral action and Wingard’s midnight-movie energy while noting narrative looseness) have reinforced a consensus around limited theatrical momentum rather than breakout potential. The timing—post-summer lull with no major counterprogramming—further caps upside, keeping higher brackets like 5m+ at lower implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$120End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A24’s “Onslaught,” Adam Wingard’s R-rated military slasher starring Adria Arjona as a sniper defending her daughter from rogue super soldiers, opens September 4 on Labor Day weekend with modest trader expectations centered on a $3–4 million debut.** Early tracking and presales for the original, non-franchise title align with A24’s typical wide-release patterns for mid-budget genre fare, where critical buzz and cast appeal rarely translate into blockbuster numbers absent major IP or summer positioning. Recent red-carpet premiere coverage and mixed-positive reviews (praising visceral action and Wingard’s midnight-movie energy while noting narrative looseness) have reinforced a consensus around limited theatrical momentum rather than breakout potential. The timing—post-summer lull with no major counterprogramming—further caps upside, keeping higher brackets like 5m+ at lower implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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