Poor critical reception has sharply tempered expectations for Ridley Scott’s post-apocalyptic drama *The Dog Stars*, with Rotten Tomatoes scores near 38% prompting a drop in tracking from an initial $18–23 million range to roughly $10–14 million. The $110 million production’s downbeat tone, limited broad appeal, and competition in late August have positioned sub-$9 million domestic openings as the trader consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the sub-$8 million and $8–9 million bins. Jacob Elordi’s draw and premium formats offer modest upside, yet mixed reviews and genre fatigue create significant barriers. Final numbers will hinge on Thursday previews and word-of-mouth over the three-day frame.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m 52%
8-9m 27%
9-10m 13%
12m+ 2.0%
NEW
$17,374 Vol.
NEW
$17,374 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<8m
52%
8-9m
27%
9-10m
13%
10-11m
2%
11-12m
1%
12m+
8%
<8m 52%
8-9m 27%
9-10m 13%
12m+ 2.0%
NEW
$17,374 Vol.
NEW
$17,374 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
<8m
$14,289 Vol.
52%
8-9m
$811 Vol.
27%
9-10m
$1,122 Vol.
13%
10-11m
$458 Vol.
2%
11-12m
$253 Vol.
1%
12m+
$440 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Poor critical reception has sharply tempered expectations for Ridley Scott’s post-apocalyptic drama *The Dog Stars*, with Rotten Tomatoes scores near 38% prompting a drop in tracking from an initial $18–23 million range to roughly $10–14 million. The $110 million production’s downbeat tone, limited broad appeal, and competition in late August have positioned sub-$9 million domestic openings as the trader consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the sub-$8 million and $8–9 million bins. Jacob Elordi’s draw and premium formats offer modest upside, yet mixed reviews and genre fatigue create significant barriers. Final numbers will hinge on Thursday previews and word-of-mouth over the three-day frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$17,374End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Poor critical reception has sharply tempered expectations for Ridley Scott’s post-apocalyptic drama *The Dog Stars*, with Rotten Tomatoes scores near 38% prompting a drop in tracking from an initial $18–23 million range to roughly $10–14 million. The $110 million production’s downbeat tone, limited broad appeal, and competition in late August have positioned sub-$9 million domestic openings as the trader consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the sub-$8 million and $8–9 million bins. Jacob Elordi’s draw and premium formats offer modest upside, yet mixed reviews and genre fatigue create significant barriers. Final numbers will hinge on Thursday previews and word-of-mouth over the three-day frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,374End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Poor critical reception has sharply tempered expectations for Ridley Scott’s post-apocalyptic drama *The Dog Stars*, with Rotten Tomatoes scores near 38% prompting a drop in tracking from an initial $18–23 million range to roughly $10–14 million. The $110 million production’s downbeat tone, limited broad appeal, and competition in late August have positioned sub-$9 million domestic openings as the trader consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the sub-$8 million and $8–9 million bins. Jacob Elordi’s draw and premium formats offer modest upside, yet mixed reviews and genre fatigue create significant barriers. Final numbers will hinge on Thursday previews and word-of-mouth over the three-day frame.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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