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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Sep 8

Sep 8

Instadocs: The Decoy Plane 26%

Talamasca: The Secret Order: Season 1 24%

Beauty in Black: Season 3 22%

Outer Banks: Season 5 22%

Polymarket
NEW

Instadocs: The Decoy Plane 26%

Talamasca: The Secret Order: Season 1 24%

Beauty in Black: Season 3 22%

Outer Banks: Season 5 22%

Polymarket
NEW

Instadocs: The Decoy Plane

$0 Vol.

26%

Talamasca: The Secret Order: Season 1

$0 Vol.

24%

Beauty in Black: Season 3

$0 Vol.

22%

Outer Banks: Season 5

$20 Vol.

22%

Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 3

$0 Vol.

22%

Earle Meets World: Season 1

$0 Vol.

22%

The Gentlemen: Season 2

$45 Vol.

22%

The Sex Lives of College Girls: Season 1

$0 Vol.

22%

Danny Go!: Season 2

$0 Vol.

21%

Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1

$60 Vol.

42%

Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With multiple titles clustered near 50% implied probability, trader sentiment reflects a highly competitive week on U.S. Netflix charts where no single release has pulled decisively ahead. Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 holds a modest edge at 56.5%, yet its lead remains narrow against a broad field of returning seasons and new entries hovering around 42–50%. Factors such as recent premiere timing, genre appeal to broad demographics, and early streaming velocity appear to be balancing momentum across Outer Banks Season 5, The Sex Lives of College Girls, and several other contenders. Upcoming chart updates and audience retention data over the next few days represent the key catalysts that could shift the consensus before resolution.

Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$125
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With multiple titles clustered near 50% implied probability, trader sentiment reflects a highly competitive week on U.S. Netflix charts where no single release has pulled decisively ahead. Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 holds a modest edge at 56.5%, yet its lead remains narrow against a broad field of returning seasons and new entries hovering around 42–50%. Factors such as recent premiere timing, genre appeal to broad demographics, and early streaming velocity appear to be balancing momentum across Outer Banks Season 5, The Sex Lives of College Girls, and several other contenders. Upcoming chart updates and audience retention data over the next few days represent the key catalysts that could shift the consensus before resolution.

Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$125
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its US Top 10 shows list on top10.netflix.com on September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" at 43%, followed by "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.