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icon for CMA Single of the Year 2026

CMA Single of the Year 2026

icon for CMA Single of the Year 2026

CMA Single of the Year 2026

Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 69%

The Fall (Cody Johnson) 15%

Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) 8%

Be Her (Ella Langley) 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 69%

The Fall (Cody Johnson) 15%

Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) 8%

Be Her (Ella Langley) 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)

$53 Vol.

69%

The Fall (Cody Johnson)

$13 Vol.

15%

Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson)

$13 Vol.

8%

Be Her (Ella Langley)

$13 Vol.

7%

I Knew It, I Knew You (Taylor Swift)

$13 Vol.

7%

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus for CMA Single of the Year 2026, driven by its unprecedented chart dominance, including record weeks at No. 1 across Billboard's Hot 100, Hot Country Songs, and Country Airplay. The track, co-written and produced with Miranda Lambert, also claimed Single and Song of the Year at the 2026 ACM Awards. Nominations announced September 10 positioned it alongside Langley's own "Be Her" and entries from Taylor Swift, Lainey Wilson, and Cody Johnson, yet its crossover impact and industry momentum create a clear frontrunner narrative heading into the November 18 ceremony. Other nominees face steeper historical barriers as late-cycle contenders without comparable sustained performance.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.

If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$105
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds the strongest trader consensus for CMA Single of the Year 2026, driven by its unprecedented chart dominance, including record weeks at No. 1 across Billboard's Hot 100, Hot Country Songs, and Country Airplay. The track, co-written and produced with Miranda Lambert, also claimed Single and Song of the Year at the 2026 ACM Awards. Nominations announced September 10 positioned it alongside Langley's own "Be Her" and entries from Taylor Swift, Lainey Wilson, and Cody Johnson, yet its crossover impact and industry momentum create a clear frontrunner narrative heading into the November 18 ceremony. Other nominees face steeper historical barriers as late-cycle contenders without comparable sustained performance.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.

If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year. If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$105
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CMA Single of the Year 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)" at 69%, followed by "The Fall (Cody Johnson)" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CMA Single of the Year 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CMA Single of the Year 2026," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CMA Single of the Year 2026" is "Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Fall (Cody Johnson)" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CMA Single of the Year 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.